55 on the bubble

[Paradigm]

Pardon if I'll post some stupid hands over the next while but I'm trying to learn SNG's. Been reading the basic strategy and (the hand history converter didn't work) was wondering about this one.

***** Hand History for Game 2401813068 *****
NL Texas Hold'em $10 Buy-in + $1 Entry Fee Trny:14136904 Level:5 Blinds(75/150) - Friday, July 22, 00:22:10 EDT 2005
Table Table 11808 (Real Money)
Seat 1 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 1: chagesfeld ( $3355 )
Seat 5: HERO ( $1050 )
Seat 9: lukycharm82 ( $2315 )
Seat 10: Joey223 ( $1280 )
Trny:14136904 Level:5
Blinds(75/150)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to HERO [ 5s 5d ]
Joey223 folds.
chagesfeld raises [350].
HERO??????

[ChuckNorris]

[ QUOTE ]
HERO??????

[/ QUOTE ]

folds

[TredWel]

ICM says fold, and I can't see any reason to disagree.

[curtains]

Well ICM is not so relevant when we have folding equity, unless you determined the liklihood of the button folding and caluclated that. Anyway I agree that I would fold here. If the guy with 1200, had like 2000 then I might just gamble.

[ChrisV]

Tough one, right on the edge. 77 looks like a definite reraise allin. You're going to have to weigh up some player dependant factors. Has chagesfeld been stealing like a madman? What are the chances like that he'll fold to your reraise? Is Joey223 way too tight, so you can steal all his BB's?

[octaveshift]

[ QUOTE ]

Anyway I agree that I would fold here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Is it super bad that I would come over the top here?

(I'd guess villain drops this like 60%+ of the time.)

If it's a leak, I want to plug it!

[TredWel]

Well, the thing that gets me (and correct me if I'm wrong, I'm still learning here) is that if we push, villain is getting over 2:1 to call us, and can do so and still retain the chip lead. It doesn't look like we have a lot in the way of folding equity.

[ldavidjm]

I'd let it go, I think villan is calling this nearly all of the time. This is another at best you're a coinflip situation, so its not worth it.

[curtains]

villian will absolutely not drop 60% of the time. Id be surprised with 25-30%

[Paradigm]

Sounds good, I think I'll let it go next time. I ended up pushing all-in and got called by A9. Although I got my money in with the best hand I should be looking for better situations here. Thanks.