I'm a pussy. 20+2, AT UTG at the bubble + q about pushing ranges

[Pete H]

20+2 Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t150 (4 handed) converter

SB (t565)
BB (t1250)
Hero (t1720)
Button (t4465)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, SB completes, BB checks.


Background:

I'd pushed and taken the blinds 3 times in the last 6 hands

Everyone seems to be tightish.

I have 12 BB's so in different situation I might raise 450. This time it's not an option as both blinds have less than 10 BB's so I'd have to push (right?)

Also if I'd raise 450 and big stack pushed, I'd have to fold (or would I?)

So it's push/fold and I pussied out and folded. Probably 'cos I'd been so aggressive lately and thought I didn't have that much FE anymore.

Now folding seems really weak and I hate it.

I'm pretty sure this is a clear push, but what kind of range should I push here if big stack and BB are tight and SB is loose?

[bkbluedevil]

I'd make a standard raise to 450 and fold to a big stack all in as you suggested. If I'm the big stack this isn't a good idea but it takes balls to come over the top all in, and I don't think you will find this sort of bluff a lot at the 22s.

I don't think you can fold this as letting the SB pick up these blinds would be bad.

[ilya]

Actually I think folding is alright. You have to go through a huge stack, and there's a shortie. You don't want to get too loco as a call from the big stack would be pretty disasterrific.

Raising to something like 400 is another option I guess, but it leaves you vulnerable to a big stack push or potentially facing a difficult decision if the BB pushes or calls &amp; pushes flop.

I prefer folding.

[lastchance]

Yeah, but you've got AT! That's no A6 you can fold here for image purposes. That's AT!

[ilya]

[ QUOTE ]
Yeah, but you've got AT! That's no A6 you can fold here for image purposes. That's AT!

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, so? You also have 12xbb. You really want to risk 12xbb with ATo with this chip distribution?

I ain't pushing anything weaker than AQo here.

Remember, Hero has a LAG image.

[John Hurst]

I agree with bluedevil. A10 is too good to fold even with a shortie in the mix.

[lastchance]

I'm weak-tight as hell here, but folding AJ is probably insane...

[ilya]

[ QUOTE ]
I'm weak-tight as hell here, but folding AJ is probably insane...

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think so. I think having that big stack on your left is just a huge disadvantage that really limits your options.
Run Eastbay's tool. The big stack doesn't have to be all that super-loose to make pushing AJs a losing/marginal proposition.

Well....
I don't think pushing AJs is right. But I think raising to 300-400 is reasonable. The plan would be to call a push from either of the shorter stacks, and fold to a big stack push. Of course I don't want to make the big stack richer, but it's not nearly as bad as giving chips to either of the other stacks.

[Pete H]

[ QUOTE ]
Raising to something like 400 is another option I guess, but it leaves you vulnerable to a big stack push or potentially facing a difficult decision if the BB pushes or calls &amp; pushes flop.

I prefer folding.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yep, the BB makes it really difficult. I thought that if I raise 450 and he pushes, I'll have to call.
400 I'd probably have to call too and raising less than that just asks to be reraised.

Would you push this without the LAG image?

[ilya]

[ QUOTE ]

Would you push this without the LAG image?

[/ QUOTE ]

I would not. Pushing just doesn't make sense to me unless my opponents are just silly-tight. Even if they all have calling standards as tight as TT+, AQ+, it's still only a marginally profitable push.