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#1
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Okay, PL .25/.50 $50 buy in at Party. UTG limps, folds to cut off who limps, button raises to 2.75. I'm SB, raise to $9.5 w/ 2 red nines.
** Dealing Flop ** [ Js, 4c, 8s ] SB bets [$12]. Button calls [$12]. ** Dealing Turn ** [ 4s ] SB bets [$15]. Button calls [$15]. ** Dealing River ** [ Jc ] SB checks. Button bets all-In [$37.3] I think for a bit here. Of course, AA, KK, QQ come to mind. Even AJ or KJ are hands I'm thinking about now. However, the fact that he just called the big rasies/bets prelfop, flop, and turn can't escape my mind. I think if he had AA, KK, QQ, he would have moved in on the TURN to try to capture the $15 bet then. I think a bit longer, and finally decide he has AK. What do you think? |
#2
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I should have said, I started the hand w/about $80, he started w/about $70, and I have no strong read on his style yet.
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#3
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</font><blockquote><font class="small">Svar på:</font><hr />
I think a bit longer, and finally decide he has AK. [/ QUOTE ] I don't think you can expect a random villain to play AK like that. What do you think he has after he calls your flop bet? A8 is the only reasonable/probable hand you beat (and he's not pushing the river with that). I'm not saying villain has to have a reasonable hand, and he probably had AK this time since you're posting this, but I say shut down on the turn. EDIT: Someone might make a case for just calling preflop. I think reraising is good. |
#4
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wtfsvi, I'm not indifferent to what you're saying, but when reading the bets, what do you come up with?
Pot sized button raise w/ 2 limps and the 2 blinds sitting on the table. That could be anything from AA to a steal. I re-rasie the pot, making it 9.5, and he just calls. Crafty player may make this play w/AA, KK, but your average player is probably hoping the flop is gonna hit him now. J84 flop $12 bet, and again, just a call. Turn: 4. $15 bet, and another call. River brings a jack, putting 2 pair on the board. He may think JJ44A is the best hand. I really think if he had a big pair, he makes his move on the turn. The monster bet on the river doesn't sound to me like he wants a call. It's a huge pot, if he wants a call, wouldn't he bet out $10 or $20 that I may have to call? |
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