bottom set

[soah]

Party 2/4 6-max

I've been playing fairly tight, usually raising if I'm first in preflop. Limping behind others sometimes with weak hands. Playing aggressively but picking my spots carefully. I've built my stack to a bit over $500 when this hand comes up. (My opponent has me covered.)

Guy in front of me has been doing a lot of minraising and minbetting in the hands he plays. But he is playing sorta tight, and I haven't seen him showdown enough of those hands to get much of a read on him yet. So he's tight and plays weird.

A couple hands ago he busted a guy with AA vs KK. No minraising/minbetting crap in that hand.

The dude that busted just left, and someone else just left, so we're suddenly four-handed.

I have 22 UTG and raise to $12. BB is the only caller.

Flop is A23 rainbow. He checks, I bet $16, he raises to $40, I call.

Turn 9, he bets $55, I raise to $155, he pushes.

[Macquarie]

Wow, tough hand. Could he do this with AK/AQ? Seems possible on the flop, but unlikely on the turn unless he picked up the backdoor flush draw. A2s or A3s seem possible too.

I think it's a call... you're getting more than 2:1 on the final call.

Very interested to hear what others think...

[dmoney777]

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I would assume that he was on the A...figuring you for either an A with a smaller kicker.....or a smaller pocket pair...I would call in this situation, especially considering you were only four-handed. Also, it is very very unlikely that he had AA again since you said he had it recently already. I think a call here is the right move.

[DoubleDown]

I call and expect to see A3 or AK (less likely)

I don't think he has 33 or 45. I think with the flopped set/str8 he would not have check-raised you on the flop, nor led out on the turn ... I think those hands would play softer and not allow you to get away so easy (if you dont have an ace, you fold).

interested to hear other responses

[Sephus]

i think you're up against 54, 33, A3, A2, AA, in that order. just reading your post i think calling the push on the turn was -EV but that said i think in the heat of the moment i probably would have called.

[Sephus]

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Also, it is very very unlikely that he had AA again since you said he had it recently already.

[/ QUOTE ]

so if i get AA what are my odds for getting it next hand?

[tripdad]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Also, it is very very unlikely that he had AA again since you said he had it recently already.

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so if i get AA what are my odds for getting it next hand?

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this made me laugh.

cheers!

[soah]

I would roll over and die if anyone in this game ever showed me AK after playing the hand like that.

[theredpill5]

I would certainly call this 4 handed. You say he's tight so that is really the only reason I'd call. I expect to see A2, A3, A9, even A4 (straight draw).

So what happened ?

I think you might have to call this. He's putting you on AK , AQ, A J , etc . He believes he has you beat so I think you have to call. I'm saying that he isn't expecting to see 45 from you so he may be overplaying his hand a little.

[soah]

Why would a tight player be LESS likely to have a strong hand?