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Nate tha' Great · #1 05-01-2005, 12:38 PM

Party Poker I raise 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] from UTG and am 3-bet by a good TAG player who probably respects me in UTG+1. Her range here is almost certainly AK, AQ, 88-AA or something similar. Everyone else folds and I call.

Flop K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] I check and call intending to check-fold the turn if I don't improve.

Chris Dow · #2 05-01-2005, 12:44 PM

Since you don't have the 7h it's quite marginal to even go to the turn, I don't think you can.

CallMeIshmael · #3 05-01-2005, 12:46 PM

Nate,

in this game, is AQ an automatic bet on the turn for villian? (assuming a blank)

I dont really know the dynamic of how this game plays, but, if you could expect a check a decent portion of the time, the math of the situation would probably change a lot. (especially considering AQ is now her most likley hand)

Fnord · #4 05-01-2005, 01:05 PM

*scratches head*

Nick C · #5 05-01-2005, 01:08 PM

I'm thinking she must be checking behind on the turn sometimes. (Otherwise, I'm not sure I understand the play.)

Edit: Do you have bluffing outs that count as "improvement," maybe?

Nate tha' Great · #6 05-01-2005, 01:22 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Edit: Do you have bluffing outs that count as "improvement," maybe?

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm not anticipating attempting to bluff against this opponent.

Chris Dow · #7 05-01-2005, 01:25 PM

You also can't possibly be expecting the opponent to give up with AQ and give you a showdown just because you called the flop.

Nate tha' Great · #8 05-01-2005, 01:33 PM

[ QUOTE ]
You also can't possibly be expecting the opponent to give up with AQ and give you a showdown just because you called the flop.

[/ QUOTE ]

How often does she need to check behind the turn with AQ to make my call +EV?

How often does she need to check behind the turn with TT to double my chances of spiking a set?

chesspain · #9 05-01-2005, 01:36 PM

With that K-high flop, you don't think you could get her to drop 88/TT/JJ/QQ?

sthief09 · #10 05-01-2005, 01:38 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
You also can't possibly be expecting the opponent to give up with AQ and give you a showdown just because you called the flop.

[/ QUOTE ]

How often does she need to check behind the turn with AQ to make my call +EV?

How often does she need to check behind the turn with TT to double my chances of spiking a set?

[/ QUOTE ]

what happens if the turn goes check-check? you still have to check-fold the river, right? I would assume she'll check it down with AQ though unless she hits.