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  #1  
Old 04-30-2005, 04:29 PM
goofball goofball is offline
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Default Probability of running down over 10k hands

What is it? Figure 2bb/100 winner 18bb/100 StDev?
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  #2  
Old 05-01-2005, 01:05 AM
mannika mannika is offline
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Default Re: Probability of running down over 10k hands

26.66%

I'm working on hosting my confidence interval spreadsheet so that hopefully everyone can do these calculations on their own.
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  #3  
Old 05-01-2005, 02:05 PM
alThor alThor is offline
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Default Re: Probability of running down over 10k hands

[ QUOTE ]
26.66%

[/ QUOTE ]

...divided by two. [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

alThor
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  #4  
Old 05-01-2005, 07:56 PM
pokerjunky pokerjunky is offline
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Default Re: Probability of running down over 10k hands

What's the probability of a 2BB/100 hands winner to lose 200 BB over 20,000 hands?
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  #5  
Old 05-01-2005, 11:17 PM
mannika mannika is offline
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Default Re: Probability of running down over 10k hands

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
26.66%

[/ QUOTE ]

...divided by two. [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

alThor

[/ QUOTE ]

Ah crap, you're right, good catch.
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  #6  
Old 05-01-2005, 11:18 PM
mannika mannika is offline
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Default Re: Probability of running down over 10k hands

[ QUOTE ]
What's the probability of a 2BB/100 hands winner to lose 200 BB over 20,000 hands?

[/ QUOTE ]

See the confidence interval spreadsheet I posted.
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  #7  
Old 05-02-2005, 05:24 AM
Mr_J Mr_J is offline
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Default Re: Probability of running down over 10k hands

So you only have a 1 in 8 chance of finishing in the red after 5 days of work (8tabling, 5 hrs a day)???
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