#1
|
|||
|
|||
88 in CO, how\'s this line and is my thinking correct?
Full Tilt 1/2 (9 handed) Avergae 4 to 5 player to the flop.
No reads, only been around for 15 hands. Hero is in CO with 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]8 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2 folds, MP1 raises, 1 fold, MP3 calls, Hero calls, 1 fold, SB calls, BB calls, MP1 calls (10 SB) Flop: J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]8 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] SB checks, BB checks, MP1 Bets, MP3 calls, Hero calls, SB folds, BB calls (7BB)[MP1 didn't call his own bet... Full tilt's HH doens't work so im working off notes] Turn: Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] BB Checks, MP1 Bets, MP3 Calls, Hero Raises, BB Folds, MP1 calls, MP3 calls River: A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] MP1 Checks, MP3 Checks, Hero Bets, MP1 Calls, MP3 Folds I generally don't slowplay made hands, but thought this would be a good place to do it on the flop. I didn't want to scare everyone away and figured that me raising would knock out more players than I wanted. And I am not going to scare away the hands that I want to go away (J-x). So what do you think? Thanks for the help- CC |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 88 in CO, how\'s this line and is my thinking correct?
standard IMHO.
|
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 88 in CO, how\'s this line and is my thinking correct?
nice hand
|
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 88 in CO, how\'s this line and is my thinking correct?
IMO, this is the WORST flop in the world to try slowplaying on (2 jacks, 2 suited, straight draws). People are gonna stay around for 2 if they have any draw here. Raise this flop and hope a club or 10/9 comes. I fear you're leaving too much money on the table here. This is a value raise.
|
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 88 in CO, how\'s this line and is my thinking correct?
Looks pretty good. When you're holding two of the 8s, there's little guarantee that the flop hit anyone at all, and any of your opponents have at most 3 outs against you. Just so long as you planned to raise the turn, the smooth call on the flop is fine here.
You may want to check your history, however, since it appears that MP1 called his own flop bet. |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 88 in CO, how\'s this line and is my thinking correct?
Perfect.
I find this is interchangable with raising the flop, though -- you're going to have to face the field with 2 cold, may as well do it on the small street. Also, if the PFR isn't likely to bet out the turn UI, I may be more inclined to pop the turn and ensure I get some more bets from people drawing dead. The two plays are close, depending on the specific players involved (those you'd face with 2 cold - how likely are they to call on the flop/turn? The PFR - is he going to go to war on the flop with TT? Will he lead the turn with AK?) -d |
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 88 in CO, how\'s this line and is my thinking correct?
*grunch*
I would only be cold calling this very rarely or if you are sure at least one of the blinds goes along. Both blinds go along, so looking good pf. The flop is a definite re-raise. You flopped a boat, but you'd like A-9J to fold and any pocket pair higher than an 8 to fold (edit pocket pairs you don't want to fold). Calling the bet gives A-9J odds to call, reraising destroys their odds and makes calling on their part a big mistake. Odds to call the flop way you played it: 1:13. Odds if you re-raise. 1:7 for the SB to call right after your re-raise. 1:9 for everyone if all the same people call, but several would probably drop out. Anyway, the rest of the hand looks fine, and from everyone's play it looks like you won, but you hate getting drawn out here by AJ, and since you have the power to make calling w/ AJ on the flop a huge mistake if you re-raise... you should re-raise. 1:13 for AJ on the flop is a call, since he only needs about 1:10..... 1:7 or 1:9 for AJ on the flop (what he gets w/ re-raise) should get him to fold, and if he doesn't he's making a mistake. edit: changed 3 outers to 4 outers Peter. |
#8
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 88 in CO, how\'s this line and is my thinking correct?
With his call on the flop, hero gave up at most 2 BB, assuming the big blind would have called two cold. This situation, it worked out pretty well, and he made that back up. It's hard to quantify how likely MP1 is to bet again and MP3 to call again, letting you make it up. In this situation, eh, it's probably pretty close between slowplaying and not slowplaying, since there's a chance that not slowplaying will kill some river action.
|
#9
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 88 in CO, how\'s this line and is my thinking correct?
I don't think slowplay is good because you are vulnerable to getting sucked out on...
pf raise could be AJ. Slow playing gives AJ odds to call. He got 1:10 w/ 4 outs. You re-raise the flop and suddenly 4 outsers AJ or KJ or QJ or TJ or 9J (all of which suck out on you if a J or higher than 8 falls) are getting 1:7 to 1:9 depending on how many people stay in. You love this since calling on their part now becomes a mistake.... (see my grunch below) You're not worried about pocket pairs higher than an 8, since these don't have odds to call even w/o the flop re-raise. edit: changed 3 outers to 4 outers |
#10
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 88 in CO, how\'s this line and is my thinking correct?
[ QUOTE ]
I would only be cold calling this very rarely or if you are sure at least one of the blinds goes along. Both blinds go along, so looking good pf. [/ QUOTE ] With -1- loose player behind me, I cold-call this all day long at 2/4. [ QUOTE ] The flop is a definite re-raise. You flopped a boat, but you'd like A-9J to fold and any pocket pair higher than an 8 to fold. Calling the bet gives A-9J odds to call, reraising destroys their odds and makes calling on their part a big mistake. [/ QUOTE ] We don't want PPs that missed the flop to fold. We don't want gutshots to fold. Anyone with a J isn't going to fold no matter what we do -- and they're drawing to 4 outs, so we don't want them to fold anyway, as they're not getting odds regardless. We want to maximize money in this pot, there is no need to protect here, Hero has maybe 6 cards that beat him in the (3rd) worst-case scenario. [ QUOTE ] ...but you hate getting drawn out here by AJ, and since you have the power to make calling w/ AJ on the flop a huge mistake if you re-raise... you should re-raise. [/ QUOTE ] It would never, ever be a mistake for AJ to raise and re-raise here unless he knew exactly what you had, so he's not folding, ever. It's not even crossing his mind. It's also unlikely that anyone here has a J, just because there are only 2 of them left in the deck, so tailoring your play against the equivalent of a gutshot (though more unlikely than a gutshot) isn't optimal. -d |
|
|