Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-22-2005, 12:21 AM
arabie arabie is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 306
Default easy dice problem, please quickly help me.

A fair die is rolled 200 times. What is the probability that a five or a six shows up less than 25% of the time?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-22-2005, 10:13 PM
arabie arabie is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 306
Default Re: easy dice problem, please quickly help me.

bump. common someone has to know the answer!
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-22-2005, 11:26 PM
Precision1C Precision1C is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 25
Default Re: easy dice problem, please quickly help me.

The answer is a summation of the chances of N=0 to 49 times that a 5 or a 6 is rolled.

The formula for any N between 0 and 200 is F(N)=[200!/(N!*(200-N)!)](1/3)^N*(2/3)^(200-N)]

So use this formula to determine F(N) for N=0 to 49 and then add them up and voila you are done. This isn't a hard problem just very tedious.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-23-2005, 02:28 AM
BruceZ BruceZ is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 1,636
Default Re: easy dice problem, please quickly help me.

[ QUOTE ]
A fair die is rolled 200 times. What is the probability that a five or a six shows up less than 25% of the time?

[/ QUOTE ]

Using Excel =BINOMDIST(49,200,1/3,TRUE) = 0.42%.

This gives the exact answer.

Or using the normal approxmimation:

sigma = sqrt[200*(1/3)*(2/3)] = 6.67.

49 is 2.64 sigma below the average of 66.67, corresponding to 0.41%.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:50 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.