#1
|
|||
|
|||
A Little Odds Help
I'm a little unsure how to calculate the odds for this hand because there is a decent possibility for a split pot.
I had QJo, and my opponent had Q9o. The flop was 2-8-Q rainbow. Can anyone help me figure out the odds of a split pot and the odds I have to win this hand postflop? Thanks. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] P.S. I lost to a runner-runner straight, but at least it was a freeroll. |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: A Little Odds Help
Spit pot: For this the board would need a 2 or an 8 and an A or a K. (6/45 * 8/44) + (8/45 * 6/44) = 1/20.625 = 4.85%
The two terms represent this outcome coming in both possible orders and they are equal. Or two running 8 or 2 or Q and 8 or 2 for full house split 8,8 or 2,2 Q, (2 or 8) or (2 or 8), Q ((3/45 * 2/44) * 2) + (1/45 * 6/44) * 2) = (.00606) + (.00606) = 1.21% 4.85 + 1.21 = 6.06% Villain wins: He would need a 9 and any card other than a J or a T or runner runner T, J. 9, !(J+T) !(J+T), 9 T,J + J,T ((3/45 * 37/44) + (38/45 * 3/44)) + ((4/45 * 3/44) * 2) = ((.05606) + ( .05758) ) + (.01212) = 12.58% Hero wins: 100 - (13.79 + 6.06) = 80.15% This is close to what i got here The error may be the small sample size (990) or i screwed up somewhere |
|
|