Folding Queens

[dfscott]

I felt like this was one of those "discretion is the better part of valor" hands. I put my opponent on either a mid to big pair or an Ace to call my pre-flop raise. However, I might be giving him too much credit here. If my read is correct, I'm only 20% to win here once the A comes on the turn.

Maybe I've got him too tight for the 22s, and this did cripple me, but I felt like I had time to recover.

I felt like the flop was the turning point here. Was my flop bet too strong? Would 100 have done the job? I wanted to bet and be done with the hand if called. Would anyone push?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney (20+2), Big Blind is t15 (9 handed) converter

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

UTG (t800)
UTG+1 (t785)
MP1 (t620)
MP2 (t790)
MP3 (t1640)
CO (t840)
Hero (t760)
SB (t980)
BB (t785)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP1 calls t15, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t65</font>, SB calls t55, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 folds.

Flop: (t160) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t150</font>, SB calls t150.

Turn: (t460) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, Hero checks.

River: (t460) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets t450</font>, Hero folds.

[SNOWBALL138]

I think you put yourself in a really bad spot here by overbetting the flop. There aren't any draws that can call even a half sized pot bet here, so betting big here means that you are unnecessarily increasing your reverse implied odds. You are giving yourself a bad price on your bet.

Still, your turn and river play here is very good. Once you get called, you have to put the brakes on b/c its pretty clear you are beaten more than 2/3rds of the time.