22 bubble hand

brizzypare · #1 03-13-2005, 05:14 PM

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (4 handed) converter

Hero (t1835)
UTG (t1320)
Button (t3985)
SB (t860)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, SB pushes, Hero ???

This is probably a dumb question but I don't know what to do.

Allinlife · #2 03-13-2005, 05:16 PM

fold is the correct move I think.

curtains · #3 03-13-2005, 05:17 PM

I believe calling is clearly correct here. Pure chip-EVwise it's clear as day that calling is correct, the only important factor is whether or not it hurts your overall EV. My instincts tell me you need to take this +chip EV situation and call.

microbet · #4 03-13-2005, 05:52 PM

EV if you fold
.242
Call and win
.341
Call and lose
.167

I ran some ranges of hands and put 22 at about 45% to win
.45 x .341 + .55 x .167 = .245

So from an ICM point of view it is really close and will depend on your opponants range of hands. If you are against someone who pushes any random cards here the ICM goes up to .254 which is a bit better, but still not hugely different.

You will have good FE on the big blind next hand, but with the current button having more than twice as many chips as anyone else it is hard to count on steals.

It is definately not a dumb question.

Moving up to 44 or 55 makes a big difference.

lastchance · #5 03-13-2005, 06:32 PM

A read on SB would be real nice right now. Tough, tough decision here.