Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-13-2005, 05:31 AM
MyMindIsGoing MyMindIsGoing is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 41
Default AK vs KJ on KJx board

Lets say I have AK and flop is KJx, what is the chance someone flopped top two pair with KJ?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-13-2005, 01:17 PM
Cobra Cobra is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 116
Default Re: AK vs KJ on KJx board

We will find out the probability of one or more of your opponents having top two pair. You would solve this by using inclusion-exclusion and determining two terms. What we know is that there is 47 unseen cards, 2k, 3j, and 42 other cards.

First term=3*2/(47 c 2) = .00555

Second term=6*2/(47 c 2)/(45 c 2)=.000011

Multiply the two terms by number of opponents than subtract the first term from the second.

9*.00555-(9c2)*.000011=.04955 or 1 in 20.2 times.

Cobra
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-13-2005, 01:40 PM
BruceZ BruceZ is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 1,636
Default Re: AK vs KJ on KJx board

[ QUOTE ]
Multiply the two terms by number of opponents than subtract the first term from the second.

9*.00555-(9c2)*.000011=.04955 or 1 in 20.2 times.

[/ QUOTE ]

This assumes that all 9 opponents see the flop, (and that they all hold random hands).
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:29 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.