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#1
03-04-2005, 03:12 PM
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Tough Week
I'm not a prolific player by any means, but I'm usually able to do OK at the $10+$1 SnG.
This week though has been dreadful. 28 games. 1st=4 2nd=0 3rd=1 Down $238 This has effectively wiped out any profits I made in Jan & Feb and it's more that a little worrying. I'm still ahead, but only just. More often than not I can get near or on the bubble but at that point I almost always crash and burn with my first all-in hand. I've never had so many bad beats in succession and I'm seriously thinking of taking a break for a while. If I cannot win even 25% of my first all-ins (as has been the case this week) then I'm just going to become a losing player. I know that my experience is far from unusual but any advice or insight on how to cope with a bad run would be greatly appreciated. 
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#3
03-04-2005, 03:19 PM
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Re: Tough Week
[ QUOTE ]
I'm not a prolific player by any means, but I'm usually able to do OK at the $10+$1 SnG. This week though has been dreadful. 28 games. 1st=4 2nd=0 3rd=1 Down $238 This has effectively wiped out any profits I made in Jan & Feb and it's more that a little worrying. I'm still ahead, but only just. More often than not I can get near or on the bubble but at that point I almost always crash and burn with my first all-in hand. I've never had so many bad beats in succession and I'm seriously thinking of taking a break for a while. If I cannot win even 25% of my first all-ins (as has been the case this week) then I'm just going to become a losing player. I know that my experience is far from unusual but any advice or insight on how to cope with a bad run would be greatly appreciated. [/ QUOTE ] I don't get it 28x11=308 4x50=200 1x20=20 =220 308-220=88 down on stars this would be 45x4=180 18x1=18 =198 308-198= down 110 First thing you should do is look at your hand histories to figure if you are getting in with the worst hand a lot or if you are just unlucky, this is a very small sample and it can't really tell you anything without looking at separate hands on an individual basis. Why don't you post a couple of hands you weren't sure about. Mack
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#4
03-04-2005, 03:19 PM
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Re: Tough Week
[ QUOTE ]
28 games. ...I've never had so many bad beats in succession [/ QUOTE ] Just keep doing what you're doing, if you're truly getting bad beats. It'll work out, and you know that. If your opponents are calling you with proper odds because you're so shortstacked all the time near the bubble, that another story though. It's possible you're not stealing enough in levels 3 and 4. I have no clue if this is your situation or not, but it's a common leak for new players that try to play "tight unitl the blinds get huge". At the lower limits, it's hardly a catastrphic problem though, and one that it easily correctable. Just keep plugging away though. A 5/28 streak is hardly the worst one you'll encounter.
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#7
03-04-2005, 03:31 PM
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Re: Tough Week
I know how you feel I have lost one third of my bankroll after a great February. I have only placed in the money 2 times in the last 11 for 3rd. I think I made to bad mistakes when in the money, by making a big bet on turn after making big bet on flop and getting called, obviously I was beat and called all in reraise on turn out of frustration I suppose. but really a bad call on my part.
I have been outdrawn in almost every heads up encounter in the last 10 tournaments, which is frustrating. If I hold top pair and they have smaller pair, they hit trips, or I have them dominated and they hit flush on river, or str8t on river. It is very frustrating for sure. Every time I am up against someone with a pkt pair they hit trips, and the opposite has been true for me. I am sure the law of averages will even out eventually, but I can honestly say I have not hit a set on the lop the last 30 pairs I have had, and I have had opponents hit trips 8 out of 10 times against me heads up. I play Poker Stars mostly and have thought of going elsewhere for a change of scenery for a while. I have corrected my problems with my continuation and probing bets. It is hard to steal blinds when there always seems to be some loose yahoo calling or reraising forcing me to fold. Usually I have try a 3BB raise on Button, very rarely do I attempt blind steals, but then one of the blinds especially if they have big stack will go All-in and I have to fold my hand.
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#8
03-04-2005, 03:51 PM
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Re: Tough Week
[ QUOTE ]
28 games. 1st=4 2nd=0 3rd=1 Down $238 [/ QUOTE ] Ugh. If you're going to post meaningless stats at least get them right or clarify them in your response post. Also, you don't need to qualify yourself as 'not a prolific' player given the rest of your post. Yugoslav (For help with 'bad' runs read Irie's and Giga's recent posts - *easily* the most valuable posts so far in 2005. FWIW, whatever run you're on - even given your contradictory stats - it isn't even close to 'bad' yet)
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#9
03-04-2005, 03:54 PM
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Re: Tough Week
[ QUOTE ]
I think you are missing their point. Your tournament entires cost $308 but your return was $220, so you're only down $88! [/ QUOTE ] It's not as bad as I thought. On a lighter note [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]I can confirm that my math skills are a little better than my post may indicate.
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