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  #1  
Old 02-17-2005, 12:14 AM
einbert einbert is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: in sklansky i trust
Posts: 2,190
Default Value bet this river?



Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, BB calls, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: (6.50 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls, UTG+1 calls.

Turn: (4.75 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls, UTG+1 folds.

River: (6.75 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, Hero ????
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  #2  
Old 02-17-2005, 12:27 AM
MisterKing MisterKing is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 5
Default Re: Value bet this river?

I doubt the busted straight will call you (which at first glance seems to be the most likely holding. K or Q with a 7 also seems possible, maybe s00ted, and these hands will probably call. Of course any six will be raising, putting you in an ugly situation.

Since villian is in the BB, its quite hard to put him on a range of hands. He hasn't shown any strength so far, but I think a "value check" is pardonable, if not best here. Did you have prior reads on the guy? PT data? I think a good case could be made that this data would make you lean one way or another depending on his W$WSF, VP$IP, and so on.
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  #3  
Old 02-17-2005, 01:07 AM
Clarkmeister Clarkmeister is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 4,247
Default Re: Value bet this river?

It's close, but not as close as first glance. People manage to find all sorts of reasons and hands with which to call. Bet.
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