Right Place to Bet/Fold?

[rmarotti]

BB is a maniac, UTG+1 is VERY loose but not terribly aggressive. I pick up black Qs UTG and raise.
UTG+1 cold calls.
Folded to the BB who 3-bets.
I cap and UTG+1 calls 2 more cold.

Flop (12.5SB) is 338, two [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]s.

BB leads I raise, UTG+1 calls cold, BB 3-bets I cap, UTG+1 coldcalls again and BB calls all in.

Turn (18BB): black A.

I bet, UTG+1 calls.

River(20BB): A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

I bet, UTG+1 raises. I fold. Final pot: (23BB)

Whaddya think?

[admiralfluff]

I think this is ok. If he is loose and passive you may still be ahead, and he will not raise you with anything you beat. If he were a LAG, it would be an easy check call for me.

[jason_t]

Ni han. I don't see any other way given your read. Are you folding the turn if UTG+1 raises?

[rmarotti]

I don't think so, cuz I'd be getting like 1:21 to spike my Q, right?

[jason_t]

Right you are. Then check/fold the river?

[rmarotti]

Yessir.

[rmarotti]

UTG+1 shows K7o for 2 pair, K kicker. BB shows Q4o for two pair, Q kicker. I guess I'm wondering if the pot was big enough to call that river raise.

[Nick Royale]

[ QUOTE ]
UTG+1 is VERY loose but not terribly aggressive.

[/ QUOTE ]
It's easy to say afterwards, but isn't a read like this a little vague to fold a 23BB pot for 1 bet at the river? I would have to have a good read as loose/passive to fold this.