Conundrum

skipperbob · #1 02-14-2005, 11:51 PM

1st hand of a Step 5...You're the Button..2 players allin before action to you....You have AA....Now what?...Why? [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

AtticusFinch · #2 02-14-2005, 11:53 PM

[ QUOTE ]
1st hand of a Step 5...You're the Button..2 players allin before action to you....You have AA....Now what?...Why? [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Call? Gleefully? That's what I would do. You're over 50% to triple up. You can't ask for a better shot than this.

skipperbob · #3 02-14-2005, 11:55 PM

You're not a favorite to win the pot; u know?

The Yugoslavian · #4 02-14-2005, 11:58 PM

[ QUOTE ]
You're not a favorite to win the pot; u know?

[/ QUOTE ]

I think you have too much equity in it to fold though.

Perhaps if this was a setp 4 or 3 (although I'm not entirely familiar with the structure just know that so many spots 'pay out') you'd be doin' fine folding due to maximizing your survival.

Yugoslav

AtticusFinch · #5 02-14-2005, 11:59 PM

[ QUOTE ]
You're not a favorite to win the pot; u know?

[/ QUOTE ]

Vs two random hands, no, but vs the hands they're likely playing, you're a big favorite to win. Think about what they might go all-in with on the first hand. Big pairs, Big Slick, Maybe AQS. Against two of these, you're over a 66% favorite to triple up. Chances are you have them both dominated. The worst case is they both have something like JTs. HIGHLY unlikely.

skipperbob · #6 02-15-2005, 12:04 AM

The most likely scenario, in my opinion, is that they both have pocket pairs...First to act has a small pair (why else go allin on hand in weak position)...second to act has a big pp; probably not AA...But isn't my question a little more complicated than the easy "call" answer...Out of the step 5 on the first hand??? [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img]

Jman28 · #7 02-15-2005, 12:10 AM

Easy call. Especially in a STEP 5, where you don't have an enormous edge over the table.

AtticusFinch · #8 02-15-2005, 12:10 AM

[ QUOTE ]
The most likely scenario, in my opinion, is that they both have pocket pairs...First to act has a small pair (why else go allin on hand in weak position)...second to act has a big pp;

[/ QUOTE ]

That's a fantastic scenario. You have a 67% chance of winning.

[ QUOTE ]

But isn't my question a little more complicated than the easy "call" answer...Out of the step 5 on the first hand??? [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Not for me, because I'm probably outclassed in a step 5. In that case, getting all my chips in with a 66% chance of tripling up, without having to outplay better players, is my dream scenario. If I get busted, so be it, but I call this bet every time.

With three all-ins against me I'd be much more hesitant. Now I'm not a favorite to win, and surviving in a rare step 5 game begins to take precedence over the extra chips.

The Yugoslavian · #9 02-15-2005, 12:29 AM

Ummm....I can't imagine Phil Hellmuth laying this down here.

And we all know how big of an advantage he'd think he has over the field, [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img].

Yugoslav

rachelwxm · #10 02-15-2005, 11:32 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Ummm....I can't imagine Phil Hellmuth laying this down here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Did you run it by Phil just to make sure? [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]