Too reckless near the bubble?

TMFS9 · #1 01-06-2005, 02:12 PM

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t100 (7 handed) converter

Hero (t1490)
CO (t1625)
Button (t385)
SB (t1250)
BB (t1700)
UTG (t1130)
MP1 (t420)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG folds, MP1 folds, Hero raises to t250, CO folds, Button folds, SB folds, BB calls t150.

Flop: (t550) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t325, BB calls t325.

Turn: (t1200) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t915 (All-In), BB calls t915.

River: (t3030) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players, 1 all-in)

Final Pot: t3030

No real reads on the villan in this hand. He did seem somewhat lagish. This was a $22 SNG. During the hand i was thinking that he was on a flush draw with probably overcards.

schwza · #2 01-06-2005, 02:46 PM

i will rarely fire a second barrel without at least top pair. however, that could be because i am a predictable coward.

TylerD · #3 01-06-2005, 03:06 PM

I would probably give up on this on the turn. Also 7 handed isn't near the bubble.

syka16 · #4 01-06-2005, 03:27 PM

I wouldn't raise 77 in that spot unless the blinds were tight. Since the guy to your left is a mid stack you can probably steal a couple of times and build a healthier stack.

I would probably limp maybe mini raise and hope the short stack pushed. I would probably push on the flop because more often than not he didn't hit that 8 and called with face cards. He probably would reraise with JJ and better so you're really only hoping he doesn't have TT, 99, A8. Folding would be too weak tight so IMO just push the flop.

microbet · #5 01-06-2005, 03:29 PM

Out of position here 7's aren't great. You may have needed a bigger raise PF to steal blinds, depending on the table.

After the flop, I think it is push or check and I would lean toward check and then fold when he bets, you still have 1240.

curtains · #6 01-06-2005, 03:37 PM

Tough spot. I would usually move allin on the flop and pray to God. Betting 325 is kind of disgusting, because what if he checkraises you allin. Suddenly you have like 900 in chips and could easily have the best hand + you have a draw.

TMFS9 · #7 01-06-2005, 03:44 PM

By not betting the turn isn't that inducing a bluff on the river by mid/bottom pair or a busted flush draw thinking that I have two overcards?

TMFS9 · #8 01-06-2005, 03:52 PM

I was next to the cutoff in this hand and I had position on the villan who was in the BB. Ideally i could have stole the blinds and moved on to the next hand. If i was later in position i would have probably raised more, but two people behind me i wanted to raise enough to take the blinds but i didn't want to get committed if someone behind me came over the top. Check/Fold in this situation is really weak tight IMO.

microbet · #9 01-06-2005, 03:55 PM

I think your bet on the turn is good, assuming you have made the 325 bet on the flop.

If you had checked the flop, just check the turn too. The pot wouldn't be worth risking the tournament over at this point and maybe you hit the river.

bigredlemon · #10 01-06-2005, 05:35 PM

I'm leaning towards checking on the flop. If river brings a rag, he'll probably either try to steal it or else valuebet. You might get to see a cheap showdown, but you might not. I think this is a good situation for letting him induce a bluff. If he just has top pair, he's probably not going to betting big into that pot given all that's out there.