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  #1  
Old 12-08-2004, 12:24 AM
SomethingClever SomethingClever is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 3
Default This means I\'m running bad, right?

11K hands at 2/4 and my winrate is 0.3

My biggest winners, in terms of BB/100

AQs: 1.58
99: 1.55
TT: 1.50
QJs: 1.39
AA: 1.34
ATs: 1.13
KK: 1.1

This sucks, right?

Comparison with top 7 hands after 22K at .5/1

AA: 3.33
KK: 2.85
QQ: 1.9
AJs: 1.19
KQs: 1.16
QJs: 1.00
JJ: 0.98
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  #2  
Old 12-08-2004, 01:19 AM
gaming_mouse gaming_mouse is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: my hero is sfer
Posts: 2,480
Default Re: This means I\'m running bad, right?

It might mean you're running bad. Or it might mean that you have a higher winrate at .5/1.

gm
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  #3  
Old 12-08-2004, 03:28 AM
uuDevil uuDevil is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Remembering P. Tillman
Posts: 246
Default Re: This means I\'m running bad, right?

[ QUOTE ]
11K hands at 2/4 and my winrate is 0.3

My biggest winners, in terms of BB/100

AQs: 1.58
99: 1.55
TT: 1.50
QJs: 1.39
AA: 1.34
ATs: 1.13
KK: 1.1

This sucks, right?

Comparison with top 7 hands after 22K at .5/1

AA: 3.33
KK: 2.85
QQ: 1.9
AJs: 1.19
KQs: 1.16
QJs: 1.00
JJ: 0.98

[/ QUOTE ]
Also compare to these numbers from Pokerroom:

AA 2.74
KK 1.86
QQ 1.26
JJ 0.82
TT 0.46
99 0.25
AQ s 0.59
AJ s 0.42
AT s 0.29
KQ s 0.36
QJ s 0.19

Of course, these are for an average (losing) player.

AA and KK are such a big part of your winrate that if in a small sample you are doing significantly worse with these hands than you would expect to in the long run, it's probably gonna show.

In a small sample (~3,500 hands), I'm currently losing w/ KK, so this alone could account for my mediocre WR in this sample. Besides, I prefer this to the alternative explanations....
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  #4  
Old 12-08-2004, 12:51 PM
SomethingClever SomethingClever is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 3
Default Re: This means I\'m running bad, right?

[ QUOTE ]
AA and KK are such a big part of your winrate that if in a small sample you are doing significantly worse with these hands than you would expect to in the long run, it's probably gonna show.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, I should clearly be averaging more than 1.3 BB with AA and 1.1 BB with KK. Not to mention that QQ and JJ are even farther down the list at 2/4...

Ugh.
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