#1
|
|||
|
|||
Probability of hitting Partypoker \"Lucky Hands\" promotion
Here's a problem for you guys.
Ok, here is the link to the promotion: http://www.partypoker.com/news/event...urrent-04.html Can someone calculate the odds of being on this hand, if playing 4 tables for a period of 5 hours? And also, what is the expected value added per hand played? |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Probability of hitting Partypoker \"Lucky Hands\" promotion
no replies?
|
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Probability of hitting Partypoker \"Lucky Hands\" promotion
I'll take a shot..
55 hands/hr * 5 hours * 4 tables = 1100 hands 1100:98900, or 1:90 |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Probability of hitting Partypoker \"Lucky Hands\" promotion
where did 98900 come from?
|
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Probability of hitting Partypoker \"Lucky Hands\" promotion
[ QUOTE ]
where did 98900 come from? [/ QUOTE ] Its the 100,000 hands less the 1100 you would be playing. |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Probability of hitting Partypoker \"Lucky Hands\" promotion
This would be true if there was only one "lucky hand" in the night. But there are LOTS of lucky hands (each 100,000 that passes is a lucky hand)
|
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Probability of hitting Partypoker \"Lucky Hands\" promotion
Each hand you play during the promotion has about a 1/100,000 chance of being one of the lucky hands. The probability that you hit a lucky hand is roughly #hands/100,000.
The value to you per hand depends on the number of other players at the table. At a full table, the value if you hit is $1400 for the table, or $140 per person. At a short-handed table, the value would be greater per person. Getting $140 1/100,000 of the time is worth 0.14 cents. |
|
|