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  #1  
Old 11-18-2004, 03:21 AM
fimbulwinter fimbulwinter is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: takin turns dancin with maria
Posts: 317
Default Fold a low flush draw with odds?

not good players at table except guy on button. he's weak/tight.

PP 200NL 6max 2/4 blinds

Me: 45[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Preflop:

all called to me, i complete, BB checks. family pot.

Flop: ($22)

A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

I check, BB checks, EP bets 15, called by EP+1, CO minraises to $30, Button cold calls, I fold.

I figure i'm getting odds, but the implied odds here are huge for the guy with Ax[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] if i do flush up. no way i'm pushing so im going to have to deal with the huge possibility of poisioned outs. so i fold then, right?

fim
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  #2  
Old 11-18-2004, 05:35 AM
SlyAK SlyAK is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Plains
Posts: 117
Default Re: Fold a low flush draw with odds?

I'd fold here. I'd hate to call and then hit my hand and lose to a bigger flush. Plus you arent even closing the action, so there could be a big re-raise behind you, which would force you to fold. No way do I even think about pushing here... it looks like there are some strong hands out there.

Sly
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  #3  
Old 11-18-2004, 05:42 AM
soah soah is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 112
Default Re: Fold a low flush draw with odds?

If you hit the flush on the turn can you count on someone to bet again for you with just their pair or whatever? And what are stack sizes? I think I'd call if I'm pretty sure I can check-push on the turn. Especially if someone will call the check-push without a flush of their own.

If that's not the case, then chasing this flush is probably just a lot of variance without much or any EV. The fact that you can make your flush and still lose is a pretty big incentive for folding.
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