Football pool strategy...

[jordanx]

There is a weekly pool where I work that can get pretty juicy, 5$ each and the pot is usually around 200$.

The person that picks the most winning teams for a week and gets the closest score on the Mon night game wins.

Is the best strategy to pick the heavy favorites, but when it's close, pick the home team and use the over/under * favorite line percentage to pick a score for Mon night?