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#1
10-24-2004, 08:59 PM
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What is the probability of a \"doomsday\" meteor hitting the Earth?
This is the thought that keeps me up at night. Every since seeing that terrible movie "Deep Impact" I've been haunted
by the possibility. Does anyone know the probability of this happening? I can't find exact numbers anywhere. Help me, please! I haven't slept since the 20th century. 
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#2
10-24-2004, 09:40 PM
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Re: What is the probability of a \"doomsday\" meteor hitting the Earth?
[ QUOTE ]
Does anyone know the probability of this happening? ...I haven't slept since the 20th century. [/ QUOTE ] Very close to 1-- somewhat greater than the probability you will be alive to see it. If you want to watch for it, try this NASA webpage. Sleep tight!
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#3
10-24-2004, 09:47 PM
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Re: What is the probability of a \"doomsday\" meteor hitting the Earth?
Thank you. At least now I can SEE the giant death rock heading for me. Better forewarning so I can prepare for it with my pranaraymic breathing exercises.
Exact numbers, I still need exact numbers. 500,000,000,000 to 1? Oh God, I don't know!? Isn't there any astrophycisists who play poker here?
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#4
10-24-2004, 09:52 PM
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Re: What is the probability of a \"doomsday\" meteor hitting the Earth?
i recall from the last astro class i took that they tended to hit the earth about once every 100 million years on average.
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#5
10-24-2004, 09:56 PM
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Re: What is the probability of a \"doomsday\" meteor hitting the Earth?
[ QUOTE ]
i recall from the last astro class i took that they tended to hit the earth about once every 100 million years on average. [/ QUOTE ] When did the last one hit!!?
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#6
10-24-2004, 10:11 PM
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Re: What is the probability of a \"doomsday\" meteor hitting the Earth?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] i recall from the last astro class i took that they tended to hit the earth about once every 100 million years on average. [/ QUOTE ] When did the last one hit!!? [/ QUOTE ] 99,999,999 years 364 days and 12 hours ago.
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#7
10-24-2004, 10:27 PM
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Re: What is the probability of a \"doomsday\" meteor hitting the Earth?
Shut up.
You're just trying to scare me. I'm not stupid. Seriously though, does anyone know when the last one really hit?
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#9
10-24-2004, 11:31 PM
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Re: What is the probability of a \"doomsday\" meteor hitting the Earth?
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[ QUOTE ] When did the last one hit!!? [/ QUOTE ] If my dinosaur history is correct, around 65 million years ago. [/ QUOTE ] Oh good. That means I have 45 million years left, after I take advantage of cryo-freezing technology that is, yup, ol' A.C. is gonna live forever.
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#10
10-24-2004, 11:32 PM
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Re: What is the probability of a \"doomsday\" meteor hitting the Earth?
I mean, 35 million years left.
Ahem.
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