#1
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Tough laydown (or am I an idiot?)
Do you lay this down or not?
Thanks, Jonathan PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (6 handed) converter saw flop|<font color="C00000">saw showdown</font> BB (t952) Hero (t1475) MP (t1675) CO (t1825) Button (t1543) SB (t1530) Preflop: Hero is UTG with 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. Hero calls t50, <font color="666666">2 folds</font>, Button calls t50, SB completes, BB checks. Flop: (t200) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(4 players)</font> <font color="CC3333">SB bets t150</font>, BB calls t150, <font color="CC3333">Hero raises to t500</font>, Button folds, SB calls t350, BB folds. Turn: (t1350) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(2 players)</font> <font color="CC3333">SB bets t980 (All-In)</font>, Hero folds. Final Pot: t2330 <font color="green">Main Pot: t1350 (t1350), won by SB.</font> <font color="green">Pot 2: t980 (t980), returned to SB.</font> |
#2
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Re: Tough laydown (or am I an idiot?)
Why the small flop raise? You've got two other players in this pot and a live four flush on board. Push the flop to protect your hand. If the draw calls you that's fine. Even if the draw hits you still have a few boat outs.
Edit: Just noticed that your flop raise is a pot raise (not enough coffee this morning), so I really shouldn't call it a "small" raise per se. Still, I think you have to push here given two live players are yet to act. |
#3
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Re: Tough laydown (or am I an idiot?)
I think I call here. SB's leadout on the flop makes me think that he's got AT and made two pair on the turn. Depends on the buy-in I think, but I don't think that it's standard play in the games I play to bet pot on a flush draw. The As came on the turn, so I can't put him on AT of spades, but I can put him on ATo. I think he's more likely to have two pair than spades, the pot is laying me like 7:5 and I have outs. I probably call and expect to see a turned two pair or a made flush.
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#4
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Re: Tough laydown (or am I an idiot?)
Agreed.
Typical crappy low limit players don't pot their draws. (though I have seen 1/20th pot "blocking" bets) [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] So this largely depends on the notes you have taken on SB. |
#5
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Re: Tough laydown (or am I an idiot?)
No WAY. Call, call, call.
By the turn the pot is 1350 and you have invested 550 of your stack, leaving you with 402 (this was a mistake btw: push on the flop). If you call the final pot will be 2154. You're assuming SB has two spades - for simplicity assume neither of them is the Ts (he would surely have reraised on the flop). This leaves 52 - 2 - 2 - 4 is 44 unknown cards. 10 of those cards pair the board, so you win 10/44 * 2154 = 490 chips. Calling is positive chip EV even if he showed you the made flush. The distinct possibility that you are actually winning makes this a call by a huge margin. |
#6
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Re: Tough laydown (or am I an idiot?)
He's hero, not BB [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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#7
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Re: Tough laydown (or am I an idiot?)
A pot-sized raise would be to 800, not 500. Pot is 200 to the flop, then +150, +150, +150 = a raise of 650. A push isn't entirely unreasonable, but it'd be a 2xpot raise.
Call the turn push. |
#8
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Re: Tough laydown (or am I an idiot?)
you're getting better than 2-1 on your call, and you have 10 outs to improve on the river if he indeed has the flush (unlikely).
Easy call. -SmileyEH |
#9
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Re: Tough laydown (or am I an idiot?)
[ QUOTE ]
you're getting better than 2-1 on your call, and you have 10 outs to improve on the river if he indeed has the flush (unlikely). Easy call. -SmileyEH [/ QUOTE ] Yes, I agree. In my games a pot sized raise with a flush draw is quite common, but even so two pair is more likely. And even if he has his flush, as several of you have pointed out, I am getting proper odds to call. I'm not sure if all-in on the flop is theoretically better than a pot sized bet, but it certainly would have prevented me from making a serious mistake! Thanks all for the input, Jonathan |
#10
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Re: Tough laydown (or am I an idiot?)
Yes, I agree with calling on the turn. But I also think you should have pushed on the flop. Remember, even though the pot says '500' a pot sized raise isn't '500' because there are bets out there. Which means your raise to 500 makes it a call of 350 into a pot of 1000, which prices in the draw. Your raise needed to be to 800, which is well more than half your stack. So, push.
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