TB v BOS

runninonmt · #1 09-14-2004, 01:56 PM

P. Martinez is pitching at home. The book I've been betting at has the ML at -500. What's the best way to leverage a huge favorite like this? The NYY ML agains KC is -300. Should I roll them into a parlay or what? It just seems crazy to lay $500 to win $100. Any thoughts?

wuwei · #2 09-14-2004, 02:06 PM

Best way to handle that is to find another big favorite you like and parlay them. But... -500 is pretty crazy juice, no matter who's pitching and how bad tampa has been on the road against > .500 teams (and it's pretty bad).

Twins with Santana on the mound are a good parlay choice, or the Phillies.

Rick Diesel · #3 09-14-2004, 02:29 PM

Also some books let you bet on the favorites as -1.5 runs. That will certainly knock the money line down quite a bit.

Rick Diesel

craig r · #4 09-14-2004, 03:56 PM

First off, you need to find a different book. Because -500 is a lot more than most other books are charging. And even if it was -400, it would be too much. I am a huge boston fan, and I am thinking about fading them. You should not be laying this much wood on a baseball game. You are basically risking the ranch to win a small amount of money. There are much better spots. Just my two cents though.

craig

scoop · #5 09-14-2004, 05:57 PM

value would be on TB with that much juice anyway, but here's something interesting: BOS is 0-6 last last 6 games vs. rookie pitcher they haven't faced before which is the situation tonight. For what it's worth-

scalf · #6 09-14-2004, 06:38 PM

[img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img] i am betting the dog (t.b)+420 and -1.5 +665

and for real cash money..no 500 bets here..

boston loses tonite..big..

gl

jmho

[img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

MicroBob · #7 09-14-2004, 07:11 PM

I think it's a pretty unusual situation where you would want to take a favorite at -400 or more in a baseball game.

I think the value is with TB and I took them here.

mrbaseball · #8 09-14-2004, 08:55 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I think it's a pretty unusual situation where you would want to take a favorite at -400 or more in a baseball game

[/ QUOTE ]

I can't think of a situation where you could possibly even consider laying this kind of wood. It's insane!

scalf · #9 09-14-2004, 10:21 PM

[img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] 5-2 t.b. with 2 outs bottom 9th..

hit batter; then walk..

good; give em a chance to tie it up on one swing..

but

the old blind sow found an acorn...

lol

gl

[img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

MicroBob · #10 09-15-2004, 05:27 AM

I agree.
If you have a Roger Clemens or Pedro-type pitcher who is having an amazing 23-2 year going up against a Mike Maroth-type of 5-20 season then I would CONSIDER -400.
But I suspect the line would be closer to -600 or -700 on this kind of mismatch.

But Pedro at 15-5 (or whatever he is) against a TB team that isn't THAT bad definitely doesn't qualify. Even the worst teams are going to win 33% of the time typically.