#1
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Stat Question - Big Leak?
5,000 hands at PS $3-$6 6max
When I call a river bet, I'm only winning 26% of the time. I know that I only need to be right a small percentage of the time in order to show a profit, but this number still seems really low (my percentages for the other streets range from 48-52%). Of the 160 times I've shown down a pair, I won 43% for a net loss of 1BB. Does top pair produce a lot of situations where playing it out is -EV, but has a better expectation than folding? Or is my suspicion correct, and these two stats are connected? Namely, I'm going too far with top pair. Scott PS What are other people's numbers for these two stats? |
#2
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Re: Stat Question - Big Leak?
I think you have to be careful of the "one pair" stat in PT, as I'm pretty sure it includes hands which you show down no pair with a paired board.
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#3
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Re: Stat Question - Big Leak?
Where can you see this stat?
Not sure what it will tell you but if you win 26% and pot is bigger then 3BB its a good call. |
#4
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Re: Stat Question - Big Leak?
Under "More Details", towards the bottom. And I know my river calls as a whole are profitable, but 26% seems way below optimum.
Scott |
#5
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Re: Stat Question - Big Leak?
Bump. I would greatly appreciate it if some people posted their numbers for these stats. I suspect this is a big leak for me, and the quickest way to find out is by comparison. Thanx
Scott |
#6
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Re: Stat Question - Big Leak?
I have 28 on the river, 43 for the turn, 51 for the other 2 streets.
With 1 pair I have a 43.39 % score at showdown Gazza |
#7
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Re: Stat Question - Big Leak?
I am winning 52% of my showdowns, win 38% of seen flops. And I am winning 25.53% when I call river. (aggression factor 1.53)... If you got a leak, I got it 2.
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#8
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Re: Stat Question - Big Leak?
That is correct. I have badgered Pat to put on a "only include hands where pockets are used" button (like the "only include hands thsat were not folded", which only works with Paradise hands it seems) but not joy yet... [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]
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