AQ

#1 08-07-2005, 04:52 PM

Button is aggressive over a small sample size (i.e. AF of 2+ for <100 hands), but no table reads.

PokerStars 1/2 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
4 folds, MP2 calls, 2 folds, Button calls, SB completes, Hero checks.

Flop: (4 SB) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets, MP2 folds, Button raises, SB folds, Hero 3-bets, Button calls.

Turn: (5 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets, Button raises, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 8 BB

GTSamIAm · #2 08-07-2005, 04:58 PM

You're getting 10:2 at worst. I think you should call down.

Henke · #3 08-07-2005, 05:00 PM

Call down. He could be semibluffing with two [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], could be trying for a free showdown with Ax, thinking that his kicker won't matter since there are 3 other high cards on the table and you didn't raise pf. Speaking of which, raise preflop! [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Harv72b · #4 08-07-2005, 05:04 PM

Raise preflop. Your AQo has good equity over 3 typical limping hands.

No way do I fold the turn. Believe it or not, your AQ is actually good a decent percentage of the time here, and unless you're up against a made straight with QT, you have more than enough outs to call the raise getting 8:1. Consider his possible holdings:

You don't give Button's preflop numbers, but if he's fairly aggressive postflop it stands to reason that he's not limping second in with AA, KK, JJ, or 99 (maybe 99). So a set is unlikely.

Does he raise the flop with QT? Probably not, although I've seen stranger moves...the proper play with QT would be to flat call and try for overcalls from MP2/SB. So QT is possible, but not very likely.

The most likely holding for Button is some kind of two pair hand, possibly A9 or KJ. AK is unlikely because he would probably have raised preflop, but it is possible. If he has A9, you have 13 outs to win on the river (3 kings, 3 queens, 3 jacks, and 4 tens). If he has KJ, you've got 12 outs to win (2 aces, 3 queens, 4 tens, and 3 nines). The point is, against any 2 pair hand other than AK, you have more than enough outs to justify calling the turn raise, not even accounting for the times when you're already best and he's overplaying a weaker A.

So, basically, calling the turn raise is mandatory. I would also check/call the river UI against a relative unknown, but if you've seen that he doesn't overplay his hands on the turn a check/fold is okay, too.

benkath1 · #5 08-07-2005, 05:07 PM

I'd raise preflop with that. If you're scared on the turn, you'd be better off check calling than bet folding. Same price and you get to see the river, which might be that pretty non [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 10 you'd love to see.

I'd put him on a set or a club flush draw. But if he's as aggressive as you say, wouldn't AA-99 raise preflop? I'm thinking he has 2 clubs and you might have got pushed off the best hand.