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  #1  
Old 07-07-2005, 04:57 PM
VivaLaViking VivaLaViking is offline
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Default Resolved: Holding a pocket pair what is the expectation of only a set.

I posed the question, if holding a pocket pair what is the expectation of flopping only a set without two pair, quads or a full house.

LetYouDown correctly responded:

C(2,1)<-Set * C(12,2)<-2Values * C(4,1)*C(4,1)<-2Suits
---------------------------------------------------------

C(50,3)<-Total # of possible flops


=~ 10.78%

TY
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  #2  
Old 07-07-2005, 04:58 PM
LetYouDown LetYouDown is offline
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Default Re: Resolved: Holding a pocket pair what is the expectation of only a set.

Was another thread entirely necessary, LOL? Glad you're happy to have your answer...sorry for the 9 different explanations that were apparently confusing.

...and do we all get partial credit on whoever you're selling this to? LOL
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  #3  
Old 07-07-2005, 05:29 PM
BruceZ BruceZ is offline
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Default Re: Resolved: Holding a pocket pair what is the expectation of only a set.

[ QUOTE ]
I posed the question, if holding a pocket pair what is the expectation of flopping only a set without two pair, quads or a full house.

LetYouDown correctly responded:

C(2,1)<-Set * C(12,2)<-2Values * C(4,1)*C(4,1)<-2Suits
---------------------------------------------------------

C(50,3)<-Total # of possible flops


=~ 10.78%

TY

[/ QUOTE ]

It's not an expectation, it's a probability.

Everyone should understand all of these methods, and be able to use them ambidextrously:

2*(48*44/2) / C(50,3) =~ 10.78%

2/50 * 48/49 * 44/48 * 3 =~ 10.78%

2*C(12,2)*4*4 / C(50,3) =~ 10.78%

2*[C(48,2) - 12*C(4,2)] / C(50,3) =~ 10.78%
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  #4  
Old 07-07-2005, 05:53 PM
VivaLaViking VivaLaViking is offline
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Default Re: Resolved: Holding a pocket pair what is the expectation of only a set.

It wasn't a attemp to start another thread it was an attempt to save others reading also I'm not selling anything, it's being given away. Thanks for all your help and keep waiting for tomorrows question lol. Thanks.
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  #5  
Old 07-07-2005, 05:58 PM
VivaLaViking VivaLaViking is offline
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Default Re: Resolved: Holding a pocket pair what is the expectation of only a set.

Bruce,

Thanks for your help and you may be correct about multiple solutions. I wish my barber could split hairs as well as you like expectations vs probability lol.

TY

TY
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