#1
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Newbie Tournament EV question
Absolute $40 sng. These are 9 handed tables.
Still 50%, 30%, 20% ($180,$108,$72). Down to 4 of us. Chipleader (SB) has ~6.5K, Villian (BB) has 3300, and I have 3050 (UTG), The presumed bubble boy (Button) has 650. Blinds are 100/200. I get JsJd. Raise to 600. Folded to BB who calls. Flop is 8 high with 2 hearts. I bet out 1200 to say "Don't mess with me" he thinks about it and pushes. From playing with this guy I see him as a "top pair is the best hand" guy which is exactly what I'm putting him on. Followed by a PP < JJ, followed by overcards, followed by a flush draw. I am extrememly confident I have the best hand right now. If he hit trips or had AA, KK, QQ I can't see him doing this. My question is how do I do the math here? I'm almost positive he only has top pair or something I am beating but I can probably get 3rd if I fold. However if I call and win there will be 2 people w/ 3BB or less and I'll have a real shot at 1st. How do I do the math here? |
#2
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Re: Newbie Tournament EV question
Don't know about the math, but i'm calling. Villian might have TP, might not have anything. "Ha, I have him now. This fool can't POSSIBLY call this all-in with bubble boy fixing to pop!". Punish him. If he has trips,AA,etc., oh well. Slug a beer and start up another one. |
#3
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Re: Newbie Tournament EV question
or - "Ha, if I go all-in with my nut trips, this guy will think i'm making a move and calll me!" [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] ...tough one. If you fold, bubble boy only needs to double up to be near your chip count. I was going to come back and say "fold" (because I'm actually a tight wuss). But chance to be chip dog vs. becoming another bubble boy........call. |
#4
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Re: Newbie Tournament EV question
I think you needed to push the flop. as it stands I think you have to fold.
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#5
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Re: Newbie Tournament EV question
Someone help?
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