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  #11  
Old 04-25-2005, 08:28 AM
Patrick Duffy Patrick Duffy is offline
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Location: ugh...the 6s...
Posts: 117
Default Re: My first 500 games as a pro

first gaucho and now this? it appears we have a detective on our hands...
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  #12  
Old 04-25-2005, 08:48 AM
prunch prunch is offline
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Posts: 56
Default Re: My first 500 games as a pro

..... and thats not your real face.......... its a mask!!!!
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  #13  
Old 04-25-2005, 11:23 AM
Rojosox Rojosox is offline
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Posts: 91
Default Re: My first 500 games as a pro

Trust me. This guy is playing the 215's. He is definitely someone to avoid. He's very good.
-Jared
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  #14  
Old 04-25-2005, 11:38 AM
Voltron87 Voltron87 is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: checkraising young children
Posts: 1,326
Default Re: My first 500 games as a pro

It is kind of weird that someone beating the 215s for 20% is asking whether it's "good" or "sustainable" but whatever. That said your results are awesome and you definitely are a winning player, but if your ROI drops a bit don't be surprised.
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  #15  
Old 04-25-2005, 11:52 AM
allenciox allenciox is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 105
Default Re: My first 500 games as a pro

Your standard error with this number of tourneys is about 7.5% so a 95% confidence interval around your ROI gives you a bound between 6% and 36%. Note that this shows you are most probably playing a winning game, but there is still a lot of variability over 500 tourneys or so. Don't be surprised if your next 500 is substantially different.
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  #16  
Old 04-25-2005, 12:11 PM
Fatdogs12 Fatdogs12 is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 60
Default Re: My first 500 games as a pro

This post was interesting to me. If you are playing $20 SNG's and 4 tabling should you expect that your ITM % is going to be a lot higher that 30x%? I always seem to beat myself up over the fact that I am only placing like 40% of the time.

What do you guys think?
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  #17  
Old 04-25-2005, 12:16 PM
pokerlaw pokerlaw is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Manhattan
Posts: 431
Default Re: My first 500 games as a pro

great job man. that jcardshark is so hot right now.
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  #18  
Old 04-25-2005, 12:22 PM
microbet microbet is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Southern California
Posts: 1,360
Default Re: My first 500 games as a pro

I really don't get how someone quits a $10/hr job, starts making $270/hr playing poker online, and then wonders if he is doing well enough.

If you are for real, then write you post like this:

Since I quit my $10/hr job, I've made over $24k in the $215s!!!!!! Hurray!!!!!

Then my response would be:

Wow! Congrats!
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  #19  
Old 04-25-2005, 12:26 PM
Misfire Misfire is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Sweating my small-sample ROI
Posts: 234
Default Re: My first 500 games as a pro

[ QUOTE ]
If you are for real, then write you post like this:

Since I quit my $10/hr job, I've made over $24k in the $215s!!!!!! Hurray!!!!!

[/ QUOTE ]

Then someone would probably flame him for "results oriented thinking."
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  #20  
Old 04-25-2005, 12:35 PM
microbet microbet is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Southern California
Posts: 1,360
Default Re: My first 500 games as a pro

Possibly, and I'm not flaming Fiery. I'm just calling out a concealed brag post.
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