AK Turn decision... hold 'em or fold 'em?

[cmwck]

[ QUOTE ]
oups...forgot a word!
I said that you should fold! Even thoug I am pretty sure that had I been in your shoes, I would have called!
Well, I hope you will get better advice than mine!
The thing is, I don't see why MP3 would raise the turn if he doesn't hold a 5...maybe he has a big pair like QQ or KK and wants some information to see if you got an Ace...
so in fact maybe re-raising is a good option...I don't know!

[/ QUOTE ]

Maybe MP3 has Ax or a pocket pair and "improved" to two-pair on the turn. Maybe he's an idiot trying to scare you into folding. Either way, your hand only has to be good about 13% of the time at the showdown to correctly call this down.

Edit: p.s. Small Detail: You will improve to a big full house 4% of the time, so really you only have to be good about 9% of the time.

[lillumultipass]

That's true...the "idiot" possibility is highly probable. So what do u think of raising the turn???
Btw, a noob question: how do u find the 13%??? Is it with implied odds???

[Dave G.]

An interesting fact that is certainly worth remembering is that now that two 5s have been exposed, the chances that one of your opponents has one is smaller. He might have a 5 here, but most of the time, he won't.

He could be raising for any number of reasons. I'd call this down.

Edit: btw, heads up yes I'll 3-bet this.

[@bsolute_luck]

echoing what others have posted. this is a good place to bluff or even semi-bluff. he could be on the flush draw as well as a slowplayed Ax.

i was thinking about the 3-bet option. i like to make people pay for betting here on this type of board, but that's probably wrong. you have a 2 suited board and CO is cold calling, so i think 3-betting is chip spewing. i'm definitely calling though.

[Francis]

DO NOT FOLD.

I've been playing at 1/2 for about 2 months, (up from .5/1) and I'm amazed at the stupid aggression you see from folks. People will raise with anything, trying to force you out of a hand with garbage like middle/bottom pair. I was folding too much early on, respecting raises and bets from players. After seeing the cheese I was being folded by, I became much more selective about folding good hands...

You've got TPTK here, don't fold. If you respect villian, go into call mode to the river.

[MrEngenic]

Easy call down no matter what hits on the river. He could be semibluffing with two different flush draws.

[bonaparte]

you MIGHT be up agains two pair or three of a kind. I call here because for all you know he is bluffing, or maybe he thinks his lower ace is somehow good now. Who knows. I call. If the river helps you great if not I think I call to a showdown.

[PokerProdigy]

I call this one down.