Probability of someone calling your all in bet
You are playing No limit Hold Em (tournament or ring, doesn't matter).
You are UTG at a full table and move all in. You somehow know you will only be called by an S&M Group1 hand (AA, KK, QQ, JJ, & AKs). What is the probability that at least 1 of the 9 players yet to act has an S&M group1 hand? Does the formula provided by Precision1C & uuDevil in the "Probability of getting a decent hand in the next orbit" thread apply here? 1326 possible hole card combo's AA thru JJ = 6 each * 4 = 24 AKs = 4 1326 - 28 = 1298 ways to not make an S&M Group1 hand. 1298 / 1326 = .9789 Take .9789 to the power of players yet to act (9) & subtract from 1... 1 - .9789 ^ 9 = .1746 Answer - There is a 17.46% chance that you will be called. Is this right? TIA |
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