View Full Version : Graham-Style DOV vs. DVD
buffett
11-29-2005, 12:08 PM
In case my Buckeye comparison is uninteresting or is a no-brainer (I don't know, I've never researched either), here is one other pair that should be OK:
Dover (DOV), large conglomerate
Dover Motorsports (DVD), small racetrack company
gmandan
11-30-2005, 07:00 AM
I'm actually very interested to see this kind of analysis. Too bad there are no real replies. I don't know enough to say anything interesting and I assume that's the case for many people on these boards, too many newbies like me.
Ed Miller
11-30-2005, 01:13 PM
[ QUOTE ]
I'm actually very interested to see this kind of analysis. Too bad there are no real replies. I don't know enough to say anything interesting and I assume that's the case for many people on these boards, too many newbies like me.
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I'm going to take a shot at these when I get some time.
Sniper
11-30-2005, 04:40 PM
[ QUOTE ]
I'm actually very interested to see this kind of analysis. Too bad there are no real replies. I don't know enough to say anything interesting and I assume that's the case for many people on these boards, too many newbies like me.
[/ QUOTE ]
This is actually a very good excercise, and I will likely take a look at them over the weekend.
Ed Miller
11-30-2005, 04:51 PM
DVD - Dover Motorsports
I'll start with this one because it's easier.
Price: $6.14
EPS: 0.19 TTM, -0.032 5 yr. avg.
P/E: 32.3
ROE: 6.2%
Net Margin: 8.3%
Dover Motorsports promotes auto racing events. For such a high earnings multiplier, I'd want to see a good business, and I don't. Its sales haven't grown at all in the last few years. I also looked at the last 10-K, and management has reserved 10% of outstanding shares to grant itself if the company ever does grow. So any future earnings are subject to significant dilution. Wouldn't touch it.
DOV - Dover
Price: $40.82
EPS: 2.41 TTM, 1.30 5 yr. avg.
ROA: 7.2%
ROE: 15.0%
Net Margin: 8.1%
Dover is a manufacturing conglomerate that grows by acquisition. From its 10-K, it looks for stronger-than-average companies with high value-add that can either stand alone, requiring little to no management, or that can be added-on to existing operations.
Its annualized earnings growth rate is 8.5% over 10 years, and it returns a dividend yield of 1.6%.
Recently, it's taken on significantly more long-term debt as a proportion of assets: 1.34B debt to 2.22B book.
Dover's future growth rests upon its ability to identify and buy good companies, which adds an inherent risk. Overall, Dover appears to be a solid operation, but doesn't appear to be a value at this price.
I wouldn't buy either company, but I'd strongly prefer DOV to DVD.
I'm giving you my vote for Sklansky's top ten smartest and expect you to bump diablo for number 10 this year.
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