View Full Version : Level 1, JJ, Overpair, Lots of action.
Nottom
07-14-2005, 04:20 PM
100+9
3rd hand or so. Stacks all pretty even.
No reads to speak of (no notes on either player, and like I said its hand 3), but both players in the hand have prophecy stats around 35% if that means anything to you.
Blinds(10/15)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to nott0m [ Jc Jh ]
fido420 folds.
HoosierBB folds.
qwerty73 raises [45].
WILLIESUTTON calls [45].
hailua20051 calls [45].
nott0m calls [45].
commerce111 folds.
jwink26 folds.
mmmhh calls [35].
Snugglez88 folds.
** Dealing Flop ** [ 7d, Ts, 2c ]
mmmhh checks.
qwerty73 checks.
WILLIESUTTON bets [125].
hailua20051 folds.
nott0m raises [275].
mmmhh calls [275].
qwerty73 folds.
WILLIESUTTON is all-In [1065]
Willie thought for a while before pushing.
I like polls:
durron597
07-14-2005, 04:27 PM
If the board had draws on it I would call, but that is such an innocent board what could they have besides a made hand?
mlagoo
07-14-2005, 04:28 PM
[ QUOTE ]
If the board had draws on it I would call, but that is such an innocent board what could they have besides a made hand?
[/ QUOTE ]
this is pretty much my thought process. you're ahead of a few possible hands here... AT, 89s come to mind. Most of the time you're behind a set. Muck it.
schwza
07-14-2005, 04:30 PM
if there had been an option for "fold your clear 2-outer" i would have voted for it.
how could you possibly be ahead here?
curtains
07-14-2005, 04:41 PM
Trust me its very possible hes ahead.
curtains
07-14-2005, 04:42 PM
Also I agree with raising, as its unlikely the bettor has AA-QQ due to the flat call preflop.
I'm scared enough of the cold caller to fold to this allin. I may be tempted to call otherwise due to the huge idiot factor on partypoker and the pot odds.
durron597
07-14-2005, 04:45 PM
[ QUOTE ]
I'm scared enough of the cold caller
[/ QUOTE ]
That's what I meant.
Vee Quiva
07-14-2005, 05:04 PM
I wrote a similar post on this and everyone got all over me for suggesting a fold.
I agree you are probably looking at a made hand, so fold the 2 outer.
Also do you think the board (draw heavy or not) makes a difference here? If it's monotone, it's an easy fold. If there is a straight possible it's an easy fold. It's just more possible hands out there that beat you. I tend not to believe that players will push all in this early on a draw.
schwza
07-14-2005, 05:08 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Trust me its very possible hes ahead.
[/ QUOTE ]
i'd put it at under 20% that he's ahead of either individually.
curtains
07-14-2005, 05:14 PM
Im confused, you think that JJ is less than 20% to be ahead of each player, or both combined?
schwza
07-14-2005, 05:19 PM
what are the odds he's ahead of the first guy? under 20%.
what about the second guy? under 20%.
meaning the chances he's ahead of both is very low.
curtains
07-14-2005, 05:21 PM
There is no way he is 20% against each player individually, those numbers are way way off, I don't care what buyin you are playing in.
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