PDA

View Full Version : Is there a rational explanation for this?


iceman5
05-26-2005, 05:15 PM
My last 20K hands at Prima $1/$2NL
$60/hr playing 3 tables...16.5BB/100 hands

My last 10K hands at Party $1/$2NL
$18/hr playing 3 tables....5.0BB/100 hands

Win rates are true win rates (double PT stats)

Im stumped and frustrated. Obviously I can just keep playing at Prima, but there has to be an explanation. Maybe Im playing differently, but I dont see how or why I would be.

The only difference I see is that Prima allows short stacks. There is a $20 min buy in on a $200 table. There are always several short stack around $30-$100 and they almost always stink and donate their money.

That cant be enough to make this big a difference can it?

On the other hand, my $2/$4NL win rate at Party is quite a bit higher than my $1/$2 win rate at Party so maybe its just been a lot of bad beats while playing $1/$2?

tripdad
05-26-2005, 05:19 PM
clearly this proves once and for all that party is rigged.

cheers!

iceman5
05-26-2005, 05:20 PM
How did I know someone would say that?

ahnuld
05-26-2005, 05:27 PM
Iceman, I used to play small nl games on both prima (royal vegas) and party, but I found the prima games to be much better at the low levels. Im currently smashing the .25 .50, but i find its alot easier to make money on these tables than the party 50 tables. Its not luck, people are just awful at prima.

wtfsvi
05-26-2005, 05:27 PM
10k hands is not a lot, and the nearest explanation is variance I think.

From what I hear the play is a bit more weak tight at prima though. I'm not sure if that is correct, but if it is, the optimal style of play over there would contain more bluffing obviously.

iceman5
05-26-2005, 05:37 PM
I almost never bluff. I play tight aggressive and they just keep calling me.

wtfsvi
05-26-2005, 05:50 PM
If you almost never bluff (or semibluff), I think your winrate at prima must on the very good side of variance, or the 1/2 game over there must be very fishy and I should give it a go.

I could be wrong though. It happens often /images/graemlins/smirk.gif

wtfsvi
05-26-2005, 05:51 PM
..

TheWorstPlayer
05-26-2005, 06:03 PM
Variance. Could also be that the opposition's style is different and one suits your style better. Could also be that the interface makes a difference. I know for a fact that I play more aggro at UB where the 'bet pot' button is so enticing than I do at Party where it is a pain to bet. I'm an idiot, but it is true.

iceman5
05-26-2005, 06:09 PM
That damned "bet pot" button is why I left UB. It makes bad players make more correct bets in alot of circumstances.

When I said I almost never bluff, I really meant I almost never do things like make an all in turn bet as a bluff.

I probably bet more flops with absolutely nothing than anyone else I play with. I bet draws all the time and will push in with a draw if I get raised and Im playing the right person who I think knows how to fold.

But yeah, the $1/$2 at Prima is incredibly weak. I would say there is about 6 really good players at the entire site, so I almost never have more than 1 of them at my table.

TheWorstPlayer
05-26-2005, 06:39 PM
Sounds like a combination of your not adjusting your style to the looseness of Party players and variance.

jkkkk
05-26-2005, 07:07 PM
i'm 4-tabling Party $50 NL and its as tight as a gnats ass

someone literally called me on the river when i raised on a 8kj55 board.

i held 88

he held jj

tight as [censored].

iceman5
05-26-2005, 07:18 PM
I was thinking that it seemed much tighter also, but then things like this happen..

UTG min raises, 1 call, I reraise to $22 with AA. UTG calls with his QJ and hits a QJx flop.

Button min raises and I reraise to $28 in the SB with AKs. he calls with TT and hits a set.

I limp KK, 2 more limpers, SB raises to $10, I reraise to $35, folded to button who had limped and now reraises all in with 77. he hits a set.

Now that I think about it, I think alot does have to do with variance.

jkkkk
05-26-2005, 07:26 PM
aside from hand 2 that just sounds like bad beats, plough throught the variance :-p