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View Full Version : ak turn decision


edtost
12-22-2004, 09:54 PM
Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, K/images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls.

Flop: (7.50 SB) 3/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 7/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 5/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 folds.

Turn: (4.75 BB) 8/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, ......


check behind with my new outs, or bet again here?
opponent is too loose, but not incredibly donkish.

eric5148
12-22-2004, 09:57 PM
Just keep going at it, you've got more outs now. This is pretty standard.

Evan
12-22-2004, 10:12 PM
Your equity against a non reverse dominating pair w/o a diamond is just over 34%. So you need 16% folding equity here to make it +EV to bet. If he's real loose my guess is you don't have it.

I say check.

Lmn55d
12-22-2004, 10:20 PM
I would definitely bet this. First, I think you have greater than 16% folding equity because people often call flop with anything and fold to turn bet. Second, I think you have the best hand a significant amount of time when you are called, so this is partially a value bet and you can check through on the river. The percentage of time you have the best hand and get paid off increases your equity significantly.

eric5148
12-22-2004, 10:28 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Your equity against a non reverse dominating pair w/o a diamond is just over 34%. So you need 16% folding equity here to make it +EV to bet. If he's real loose my guess is you don't have it.

I say check.

[/ QUOTE ]

This isn't a complicated decision at all. You have a nut flush draw, two overcards, and your AK high might be good. Bet it.

Entity
12-22-2004, 10:34 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Your equity against a non reverse dominating pair w/o a diamond is just over 34%. So you need 16% folding equity here to make it +EV to bet. If he's real loose my guess is you don't have it.

I say check.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, but why does opponent have to have a pair here?

Seems like an easy bet HU.

Rob

Evan
12-22-2004, 10:37 PM
Okay, looks like I failed in arguing the other side. I'd bet too but I thought I'd try to make a case for checking. I failed.

billuhbong
12-23-2004, 12:13 AM
i definately disagree with checking, bet this turn

Grease
12-23-2004, 12:16 AM
It's HU, you're betting. If you get called, you get called, but you don't have to be successful every time.