Bulldog
10-25-2004, 03:01 PM
We've got a bonus in my home game for straight flushes and royal flushes. We set it up that everybody puts a quarter in the jar every time they play, and a straight flush takes the jar. (We had only had one in about nine months of once or twice weekly 2-4 hour NL tourneys.) Of course, in the first and second game after starting the jar, we had straight flushes in each.
So we changed it up to the following: straight flush takes $5 from the jar, royal takes the jar. I'm trying to figure how often the bonuses will be hit. Here's my raw (estimated) data:
hands/hr: 20
average tourney hours: 3.5
hands per tourney: 70
average players/hand: 7
average starting hands per tourney: 500
Of any seven cards, odds of a royal: 30940:1
Of any seven cards, odds of a SF (non-royal): 3216:1
Without taking folds into consideration, we should have a non-royal SF once per 6 or 7 tourneys and a royal once every 60 tourneys, correct?
Now how do I factor in the folds?
My next calculation will be what the average royal jackpot will be. If we have 10 players per tourney, the jackpot will grow $2.50 per. If we go 60 tourneys until the royal, there will be $150 in there less the $50 paid to the 10 SFs hit, or $100, yes?
So we changed it up to the following: straight flush takes $5 from the jar, royal takes the jar. I'm trying to figure how often the bonuses will be hit. Here's my raw (estimated) data:
hands/hr: 20
average tourney hours: 3.5
hands per tourney: 70
average players/hand: 7
average starting hands per tourney: 500
Of any seven cards, odds of a royal: 30940:1
Of any seven cards, odds of a SF (non-royal): 3216:1
Without taking folds into consideration, we should have a non-royal SF once per 6 or 7 tourneys and a royal once every 60 tourneys, correct?
Now how do I factor in the folds?
My next calculation will be what the average royal jackpot will be. If we have 10 players per tourney, the jackpot will grow $2.50 per. If we go 60 tourneys until the royal, there will be $150 in there less the $50 paid to the 10 SFs hit, or $100, yes?