Two Plus Two Older Archives HARDEST QUESTION I CAN THINK OF
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#1
12-14-2002, 12:19 PM
 bob2007 Member Join Date: Nov 2002 Posts: 77
HARDEST QUESTION I CAN THINK OF

I donno the answer to this problem, but I'm hoping some of you could solve it for me.

What is the probability of

1) top pair
2) bottom 2 pair
3) middle 2 pair
4) top 2 pair
3) three of a kind
4) nut straight

from the flop, being the winning hand.

thanks,
#2
12-19-2002, 07:33 PM
 Duke Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2002 Location: SW US Posts: 577
Re: HARDEST QUESTION I CAN THINK OF

How can you flop middle 2 pair?

~D
#3
12-20-2002, 12:40 AM
 DenverGuy39 Junior Member Join Date: Dec 2002 Posts: 1
Re: HARDEST QUESTION I CAN THINK OF

Top pair of Aces is going to hold up a lot more than a top pair of 6's
#4
12-20-2002, 04:23 PM
 bob2007 Member Join Date: Nov 2002 Posts: 77
Re: HARDEST QUESTION I CAN THINK OF

lol... true, forgot wasn't thinking
#5
12-20-2002, 09:17 PM
 Dynasty Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2002 Location: Las Vegas Posts: 4,044
Re: HARDEST QUESTION I CAN THINK OF

You can replace middle two-pair with top and bottom pair which wasn't on the list.

That being said, I don't think a precise answer can be given and I don't think the answer would be very useful.

#6
12-21-2002, 12:14 PM
 Mike Haven Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2002 Location: Northern Ireland Posts: 2,288
Re: HARDEST QUESTION I CAN THINK OF

you need to tie down the variables a bit more to get some exact answers

for instance, taking only random hands into consideration, if you had top pair with JcTs and a Jd6d2d flop against two opponents you would win 47% of the time

with JcTs and a Jd6h2s flop against two opponents you would win 67% of the time
#7
12-21-2002, 07:39 PM
 bob2007 Member Join Date: Nov 2002 Posts: 77
Re: HARDEST QUESTION I CAN THINK OF

How did you mathematically determine that? I think this question would help me dramatically, when i'm first to bet with top pair and theres x number of players - so that i wouldn't get reraised when a scare card comes.
#8
12-21-2002, 09:26 PM
 Mike Haven Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2002 Location: Northern Ireland Posts: 2,288
Re: HARDEST QUESTION I CAN THINK OF

only bruce could work that out mathematically - i had to use a poker programme!

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