Swing State prediction contest

[SinCityGuy]

AR (6) Bush
CO (9) Bush
IA (7) Kerry
FL (27)Kerry
HI (4) Kerry
ME (4) Kerry
MN (10)Kerry
MI (17)Kerry
MO (11)Bush
NH (4) Kerry
NJ (15)Kerry
NM (5) Kerry
NV (5) Bush
OH (20)Kerry
OR (7) Kerry
PA (21)Kerry
WV (5) Bush
WA (11)Kerry
WI (10)Kerry

Popular Vote margin (to tenth of a decimal place): Kerry +0.9
Electoral Result: Kerry 311 Bush 227

[Nepa]

AR (6) Bush
CO (9) Bush
IA (7) Kerry
FL (27) Kerry
HI (4) Kerry
ME (4) Kerry
MN (10) Kerry
MI (17) Kerry
MO (11) Bush
NH (4) Kerry
NJ (15) Kerry
NM (5) Kerry
NV (5) Kerry
OH (20) Kerry
OR (7) Kerry
PA (21) Kerry
WV (5) Bush
WA (11) Kerry
WI (10) Kerry
Popular Vote margin (to tenth of a decimal place): Kerry 1.4 percent
EC results: Kerry 321 Bush 222
Side note: Turnout will be very high esp. within cities.

[sam h]

AR (6) - Bush
CO (9) - Bush
IA (7) - Kerry
FL (27) - Bush
HI (4) - Kerry
ME (4) - Kerry
MN (10) - Kerry
MI (17) - Kerry
MO (11) - Bush
NH (4) - Kerry
NJ (15) - Kerry
NM (5) - Bush
NV (5) - Bush
OH (20) - Kerry
OR (7) - Kerry
PA (21) - Kerry
WV (5) - Bush
WA (11) - Kerry
WI (10) - Kerry

Popular Vote margin (to tenth of a decimal place): Kerry +1.2
Electoral Result: Kerry 279, Bush 259.

[jdl22]

I was thinking of doing the same. Here are my predictions:


AR (6) Bush
CO (9) Bush
IA (7) Kerry
FL (27) Kerry
HI (4) Kerry
ME (4) Kerry
MN (10) Kerry
MI (17) Kerry
MO (11) Bush
NH (4) Kerry
NJ (15) Kerry
NM (5) Kerry
NV (5) Bush
OH (20) Kerry
OR (7) Kerry
PA (21) Kerry
WV (5) Bush
WA (11) Kerry
WI (10) Bush
Popular Vote margin (to tenth of a decimal place): Kerry +1.2
Electoral Result: Kerry 301 Bush 237

[TomCollins]

[ QUOTE ]
AR (6) Bush Correct
CO (9) Bush Correct
IA (7) Bush (not called but looking correct)
FL (27) Bush Correct
HI (4) Kerry (not called but looking correct)
ME (4) Kerry Correct
MN (10) Kerry (not called but looking correct)
MI (17) Kerry (not called but looking correct)
MO (11) Bush Correct
NH (4) Kerry Correct
NJ (15) Kerry Correct
NM (5) Kerry (not called but looking incorrect)
NV (5) Bush (not called but but looking incorrect, but very close)
OH (20) Bush Correct
OR (7) Kerry Correct
PA (21) Kerry Correct
WV (5) Bush Correct
WA (11) Kerry Correct
WI (10) Bush Not called (but looking Incorrect, but very close)

Bush 47.5% Kerry 47.3% (.2%)
Electoral Result:
Bush 291 Kerry 247

Flame on.

[/ QUOTE ]
Looking like 281-257 now. Do I win?

[TomCollins]

The winner is....

ctv1116.
He wins on the 4th tiebreaker, which as popular vote. He had an amazing 18/19 states, only missing Wisconsin. He also picked the popular vote within .5%.

Second place: El_Barto. Unfortunately, he did not give a popular vote score, and may have had a chance at beating ctv.

Non_Conformist got every state correct that he picked except NH and could have won, but failed to make picks for 3 states.
Final Rankings:
18 States
1) ctv1116
2) El_Barto
3) KnockWurst
4) LaggyLou
5) LinusKS

17 States
6) TomCollins
7) sam_h
8) goofball
9) David Steele

16 States
10) Peca
11) Lorinda

15 States
12) Nate tha' Great
13) SinCityGuy
14) AceHigh
15) Grey

14 States
16) Non_Conformist
17) Nepa
18) jdl22

It was fun. Congrats to the winners.