AA flopped set...when to let it go?

midwestkc · #1 11-09-2005, 11:51 AM

I'm thinking I fold after the turn...All the flop betting was crazy, but felt like I had alot of outs to fill up...anyways, what do you think?

Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
1 fold, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, 1 fold, CO raises, Hero 3-bets, 2 folds, UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, CO calls.

Flop: (14.50 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 players)
MP1 checks, MP2 checks, CO bets, Hero raises, MP1 3-bets, MP2 folds, CO caps, Hero calls, MP1 calls.

Turn: (13.25 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
MP1 checks, CO bets, Hero calls, MP1 folds.

River: (15.25 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
CO bets, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 16.25 BB

numeri · #2 11-09-2005, 12:01 PM

I think this is fine. It sure looks like CO has a high [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. Your flop and turn play are fine even if you know you're drawing. You have enough outs to draw to your full house.

#3 11-09-2005, 12:06 PM

Yes that board is horrible but flop cap is good as you probably have the best hand still and even if you don't you'll have plenty of outs. Turn is fine, you can't let a set go yet as you have 10 outs. River...well without a good read on CO I'm folding too, I don't think we can be good often enough to warrant a call for a split pot. Since you're posting this you probably lost but I play this hand the same way.

cfjr2 · #4 11-09-2005, 12:56 PM

FWIW - as hero's flush is the board cards CO only needs a [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] higher than 4 to have the hi flush

the turn call is fine (10 outs) and river fold is ok here

#5 11-09-2005, 01:06 PM

I dont see playing myself playing this hand any differently. You had 10 outs for the river and you were getting ~13-1. That's a no-brainer.

You would've almost certainly lost if you called on the river.

#6 11-09-2005, 01:07 PM

I would call the river

TomBrooks · #7 11-09-2005, 01:10 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I dont see playing myself playing this hand any differently. You had 10 outs for the river and you were getting ~13-1. You would've almost certainly lost if you called on the river.

[/ QUOTE ]

bozlax · #8 11-09-2005, 01:12 PM

All I have to add is that the subject of this thread made me cry a little.

deception5 · #9 11-09-2005, 01:12 PM

Looks good.

Aaron W. · #10 11-09-2005, 01:12 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I'm thinking I fold after the turn...All the flop betting was crazy, but felt like I had alot of outs to fill up...anyways, what do you think?

Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
1 fold, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, 1 fold, CO raises, Hero 3-bets, 2 folds, UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, CO calls.

Flop: (14.50 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 players)
MP1 checks, MP2 checks, CO bets, Hero raises, MP1 3-bets, MP2 folds, CO caps, Hero calls, MP1 calls.

Turn: (13.25 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
MP1 checks, CO bets, Hero calls, MP1 folds.

River: (15.25 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
CO bets, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 16.25 BB

[/ QUOTE ]

The turn call is fine. You need to think about pot odds and out counting.

I tilt for a street on the river, convince myself that 7.5 BB is a big enough pot, and pay it off. Folding is probably much better.