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  #1  
Old 11-06-2005, 09:29 PM
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Default Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05

Thoughts? Long-overdue correction? Short-term aberration?
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Old 11-06-2005, 09:53 PM
kdog kdog is offline
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Default Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05

Coming into today I had the year at 59 favs, 53 dogs, 1 pick and 2 pushes. Hardly an aberration.

Dogs did take a beating today though, particularly home dogs. Well, the masses win and the books lose sometimes. Give it time and things will even out. Nine weeks is too small a sample size.
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Old 11-06-2005, 09:56 PM
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Default Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05

[ QUOTE ]
Coming into today I had the year at 59 favs, 53 dogs, 1 pick and 2 pushes. Hardly an aberration.

Dogs did take a beating today though, particularly home dogs. Well, the masses win and the books lose sometimes. Give it time and things will even out. Nine weeks is too small a sample size.

[/ QUOTE ]

I had faves at 61-51-3 going into today, with 1 pick'em. I do think 9 weeks is too small a sample and hope you're right kdog.
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Old 11-06-2005, 10:02 PM
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Default Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05

[ QUOTE ]
Thoughts? Long-overdue correction? Short-term aberration?

[/ QUOTE ]

When you're pushing small edges as in sports betting, 9 weeks is not much of a sample size. I do not believe any favored team lost today, and most covered. This week just looked to go to be true for us that primarily fade the public. The BSPs got their revenge though.
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  #5  
Old 11-06-2005, 10:13 PM
DougOzzzz DougOzzzz is offline
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Default Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05

Just some bad luck for the dogs. The record ATS for favorites is statistically not that unlikely.
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Old 11-06-2005, 10:51 PM
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Default Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05

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Just some bad luck for the dogs. The record ATS for favorites is statistically not that unlikely.

[/ QUOTE ]

Meanwhile, I am getting absolutely killed. I'm more or less at a loss right now.
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  #7  
Old 11-06-2005, 11:36 PM
DougOzzzz DougOzzzz is offline
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Default Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Just some bad luck for the dogs. The record ATS for favorites is statistically not that unlikely.

[/ QUOTE ]

Meanwhile, I am getting absolutely killed. I'm more or less at a loss right now.

[/ QUOTE ]

I feel your pain. Lousy year for me too, so far.
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  #8  
Old 11-07-2005, 12:57 AM
CCx CCx is offline
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Default Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05

[ QUOTE ]
Thoughts? Long-overdue correction? Short-term aberration?

[/ QUOTE ]

you're just way, way overdue on being a square

join the party
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  #9  
Old 11-07-2005, 01:04 AM
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Default Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Thoughts? Long-overdue correction? Short-term aberration?

[/ QUOTE ]

you're just way, way overdue on being a square

join the party

[/ QUOTE ]

[img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

I've bet one road fave all year -- Cinci -3 at the Bears. Of course it won...along with 2 of every 3 other road faves in 2005. ~puke~
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  #10  
Old 12-05-2005, 05:50 PM
DougOzzzz DougOzzzz is offline
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Default Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05

[ QUOTE ]
Short-term aberration?

[/ QUOTE ]

Doesn't seem nearly as likely anymore.
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