Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-27-2005, 10:33 AM
Borknagar Borknagar is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 2
Default One gap connectors and odds

What are the odds with a hand like 57 suited to flop atleast a straight draw or flush draw in hold'em?

Thanks for the time
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-27-2005, 12:35 PM
BruceZ BruceZ is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 1,636
Default Re: One gap connectors and odds

[ QUOTE ]
What are the odds with a hand like 57 suited to flop atleast a straight draw or flush draw in hold'em?

Thanks for the time

[/ QUOTE ]

This post and associated links has the probability of flopping an 8-out straight draw with a 1-gapper using both hole cards (6.9%) and the probability of flopping a flush draw with connectors. The probability of flopping a flush draw with a 1-gapper will be the same as for connectors (10.94%). If we just add these, we will be double counting the cases that flop both a flush and straight draw, so we must subtract this. For connectors this is 1.2%, but for 1-gappers it will be less. Since 1-gappers flop about 2/3 as many 8-out straight draws, this should be approximately 0.8%, so the probability of a straight or flush draw is 6.9% + 10.94% - 0.8% =~ 17.0%. Later I will try to recompute this one term more exactly, but this result is probably already accurate to within 0.1%. For suited connectors like JTs, this number is 19.1%.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:10 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.