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  #31  
Old 08-21-2005, 09:49 AM
skipperbob skipperbob is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 2
Default Re: ROULETTE & \"VARIANCE\"

[ QUOTE ]
I knew SFB was way off. Well, I always knew that...

Nice chart tho.

[/ QUOTE ]

Hey "SFB"..(not "SkipperF'ngBob; but "CacaForBrains")...It's been a long time since I went to school, or had to actually work, but the "Nice Chart" displays the chance (expressed as a %) that your next game will be the "start" of a given OOTM streak.

Saying that your next game will be the start of an 0for13 streak is alot different than saying that a 40% ITM'er will have a 0for13 streak "somewhere" in a set of 200 SNG's.

Take your own experience DaliDude; you probably have 2 or 3 0for13 streaks in any set of 500 [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]
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  #32  
Old 08-21-2005, 11:49 AM
Myst Myst is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 4
Default Re: ROULETTE & \"VARIANCE\"

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i hate roulette. i hate blackjack. i hate pai-gow. holla

[/ QUOTE ]

I love counting cards =]

[/ QUOTE ]

Man, and the edge in poker is like 15-20 times bigger than BJ?
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  #33  
Old 08-21-2005, 01:41 PM
Daliman Daliman is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 382
Default Re: ROULETTE & \"VARIANCE\"

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I knew SFB was way off. Well, I always knew that...

Nice chart tho.

[/ QUOTE ]

Hey "SFB"..(not "SkipperF'ngBob; but "CacaForBrains")...It's been a long time since I went to school, or had to actually work, but the "Nice Chart" displays the chance (expressed as a %) that your next game will be the "start" of a given OOTM streak.

Saying that your next game will be the start of an 0for13 streak is alot different than saying that a 40% ITM'er will have a 0for13 streak "somewhere" in a set of 200 SNG's.

Take your own experience DaliDude; you probably have 2 or 3 0for13 streaks in any set of 500 [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, I'm a lot closer to 38% than 40%, and in 5000+ SNG's, it has happened once, (14 in a row), my next worst is 11. And saying it will start at the beginning is the exact same thing, near as I can tell. Kinda like saying what are the chances of getting AA the next hand, right after having AA; It's still 220-1.
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