ROULETTE & "VARIANCE"

skipperbob · #1 08-19-2005, 07:12 PM

I doubt that this will be quite the "revelation" to anybody else that it was to me, but consider this:

As I was "crying-in-my-Beer" about my 0 for 13 run yesterday and was almost P.O.'d enough to call 66's and complain (not quite) I realized that Zero out of 13 is actually fairly common in Roulette.....Back when I was devising "systems" to beat Roulette I thought regularly about the old Martingale system (and why in the hell it didn't work)....Well the reason that it doesn't "work" is that if you are betting red [20/18 against] you will encounter a losing streak, greater than 10 trials, at least once in every 200 trials....greater than 12 in 300 trials, etc.....Well, 20/18 against is the same as a 47.36% ITM.

Yikes!....I'm no 47.36% "ITM'er" [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]......So, I'm gonna hit alot of zero for 13's [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

raptor517 · #2 08-19-2005, 07:15 PM

i hate roulette. i hate blackjack. i hate pai-gow. holla

Maulik · #3 08-19-2005, 08:40 PM

[ QUOTE ]
i hate roulette. i hate blackjack. i hate pai-gow. holla

[/ QUOTE ]

I love counting cards =]

Myst · #4 08-21-2005, 11:49 AM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i hate roulette. i hate blackjack. i hate pai-gow. holla

[/ QUOTE ]

I love counting cards =]

[/ QUOTE ]

Man, and the edge in poker is like 15-20 times bigger than BJ?

EnderFFX · #5 08-20-2005, 12:43 AM

I'm a pro at Pai-Gow, definitly need a Pai-Gow tourney sometime.

Daliman · #6 08-20-2005, 12:49 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I'm a pro at Pai-Gow, definitly need a Pai-Gow tourney sometime.

[/ QUOTE ]

Raptor and Usher will be happy to accomodate you.

raptor517 · #7 08-20-2005, 04:59 AM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'm a pro at Pai-Gow, definitly need a Pai-Gow tourney sometime.

[/ QUOTE ]

Raptor and Usher will be happy to accomodate you.

[/ QUOTE ]

yes, we are by far the pai-gow masters. holla

SlackerMcFly · #8 08-19-2005, 07:31 PM

Good point! Kind of puts things in perspective.

At the rate I play, that would be like finishing OOTM for a whole week! Hang in there Skipper, I feel a heater coming on....

#9 08-19-2005, 08:18 PM

happens to the best of us... glad you realized you can't beat roullette too.

SuitedSixes · #10 08-19-2005, 09:04 PM

[ QUOTE ]
happens to the best of us... glad you realized you can't beat roullette too.

[/ QUOTE ]

Actually Skipper CAN beat roulette. He just chooses not to.

Skip-
You know you can call me for a sympathetic ear any time you go on a losing streak, get shot down by a woman, or accidentally put Metamucil in your Cabernet.