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#11
11-29-2005, 09:28 PM
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Re: I ain\'t gonna work on Maggie\'s farm no more.
some times known as the leader of the homeless?
1 wouldnt fold to 40/20, call down. 2 call turn fold rvr unimproved. 3 3bet turn pussy. 4 probably wouldnt call river. fold pf most of the time. 5 bet flop you think a 30/20 is folding queens or jacks ever? 6 ok? 
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#12
11-29-2005, 09:33 PM
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Re: I ain\'t gonna work on Maggie\'s farm no more.
i don't think i have ever disagreed with every line of a post before.
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#13
11-29-2005, 09:40 PM
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Re: I ain\'t gonna work on Maggie\'s farm no more.
[ QUOTE ]
Hand 3, TT hand. ... i'm wondering about a river fold here. [/ QUOTE ] dont be a crazy, this is a clear call, IMO.
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#14
11-29-2005, 09:42 PM
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Re: I ain\'t gonna work on Maggie\'s farm no more.
more details why plz!
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#15
11-29-2005, 09:47 PM
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Re: I ain\'t gonna work on Maggie\'s farm no more.
[ QUOTE ]
more details why plz! [/ QUOTE ] aces up! you beat them!
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#16
11-29-2005, 09:50 PM
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Re: I ain\'t gonna work on Maggie\'s farm no more.
If he does have AQ it seems unlikely that he didn't c/r the flop and he has tons of reasons to not bet the river here.
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#17
11-29-2005, 09:59 PM
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Re: I ain\'t gonna work on Maggie\'s farm no more.
[ QUOTE ]
If he does have AQ it seems unlikely that he didn't c/r the flop [/ QUOTE ] disagree. [ QUOTE ] and he has tons of reasons to not bet the river here. [/ QUOTE ] sure, but i see ppl auto bet all the time online. in a live game, diff story. ppl are more willing to check OOP w/ the lead. also, i just feel like your conservative "just call" on the turn way underrepresented your hand... now top2 and bottom set value bets here all day, plus you basically just called to insure SD and because u already knew this guy was gonna bet the river, now he bets like u knew he would, gotta call. three fvcking tens, big hand. i never fold this.
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#18
11-29-2005, 10:15 PM
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Re: I ain\'t gonna work on Maggie\'s farm no more.
even though i underrepresented my hand there are hands like AK AJ KK JJ that i could have here that if he does have AQ he has to fear. admittly players do just auto bet here but this guy was a decent regular.
if we put his range at KJ and AQ, then KJ has to be 13x times more likely. combination wise it's 12 vs 9. so we need 90% of players with AQ to either always c/r the flop OR always check the river for us to fold. If 70% check the river and 60% c/r the flop. that leaves 0.3 * 0.4, 88% of players who would play AQ the way the above line was played. The EV of the river call is way way closer than i imagined.
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