Bet this turn?

[MrWookie47]

Representing a 4? Hero raised preflop. If the villains are actually thinking about what hero is representing, they'll be thinking AA long before they think 4x. They'll be even more inclined to think it's AK. And this assumes they're even thinking about what hero might have (unlikely). I don't think hero is ahead all that often here against two loose villains. They could easily have a pair, trips, or a PP. For outs, we've got 7 optimistically, 5.5 with the standard deduction, and in reality something in between given the circumstances. That's enough to compell hero to call a c/r, but, man, it sure sucks. If we could fold to the c/r, then I'd like betting more, or else if the pot was big and calling it sucks less. I think I check here.

[Mathieu]

[ QUOTE ]
They could easily have a pair, trips, or a PP. For outs, we've got 7 optimistically, 5.5 with the standard deduction, and in reality something in between given the circumstances.

[/ QUOTE ]

I like betting because I think we are ahead often enough, and we can fold to a c/r. These villains are passive and unlikely to CR with less than trips here. If check raised, I don't think we have much more than 4 outs. Once in a while, villain will have slow played QQ or KK (giving us 7 outs), but that is much less likely than 4x.

[MrWookie47]

Eh, even then, I'd rather not risk having to give up my four out equity in the pot. W/o the gutter, we can easily fold to the c/r because of the high chance we're drawing dead. If we fold to a c/r, we forfeit about 0.75 BB in equity, whereas if we checked, we'd be liking life a lot more.