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#1
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Re: Folding KK on an all-undercard flop...to one bet.
Hmm, I tend to think he's protecting a set of 8s or the straight much more than 1% of the time. I was putting villain pretty squarely on 2 pair or better here, although the A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] + a pair is admittedly possible. The sets have me beat much worse than what I've got over the 2-pair and A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] + pair hands.
I should've ran some calculations through before I posted but I didn't. Seeing that I'm favored over top two is certainly giving me pause here. Pushing has got to be +cEV I think. On the other hand, I'll win this small tourney about 3x the average by playing small-ball early and pushing people around late. They've got a similar small-field $100+10 tourney on weekends and I've won straight up 6/14 times this year with fields of 24, 22, and 15 amongst my wins. It's not a given that I should race 2-pair here. |
#2
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Re: Folding KK on an all-undercard flop...to one bet.
[ QUOTE ]
On the other hand, I'll win this small tourney about 3x the average by playing small-ball early and pushing people around late. They've got a similar small-field $100+10 tourney on weekends and I've won straight up 6/14 times this year with fields of 24, 22, and 15 amongst my wins. It's not a given that I should race 2-pair here. [/ QUOTE ] What site is this? [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] |
#3
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Re: Folding KK on an all-undercard flop...to one bet.
I dont think a fold here is that bad considering there are only 9 out of 11 people left and you have a deep stack with good strucutre. If this were larger tourney I would commit my chips to accumulate for later stages. but since this is basically a deepstacks SNG, I dont think accumulating is as important as it is for a MTT. I dont think I would fold this but does my logic make sense?
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