#21
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Re: I think this is an intersting preflop spot.........
He probably isn’t raising anything that you'd love to play against. Therefore, fold.
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#22
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Re: I think this is an intersting preflop spot.........
[ QUOTE ]
I like a 3bet, I think you can outplay him post flop. [/ QUOTE ] lol. What does this mean? You are certain he has KK/AA so you're going to bet/raise/3-bet/cap the flop and turn to get him to make a sick fold on the river? |
#23
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Re: I think this is an intersting preflop spot.........
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Um i thought it was always like 6:1 or something. [/ QUOTE ] Your 7:1 to flop a set [/ QUOTE ] i thought it was 8.3:1 to flop a pair to set... Where you get 7:1 from? Id 3bet or fold, Calling is my least favourite. [/ QUOTE ] (50 choose 3)/((2 choose 1) * (49 choose 2)) - 1 = 7.33 |
#24
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Re: I think this is an intersting preflop spot.........
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I like a 3bet, I think you can outplay him post flop. [/ QUOTE ] He'll have big aces as often as he'll have a pair that crushes you. 3-bet and outplay him after the flop. [/ QUOTE ] Assuming his pfr is 1.4%, let's say after 10000 hands or something, then QQ--AA is 3 * (4 choose 2) / (52 choose 2) = 1.357% ~ 1.4% of his possible combinations. |
#25
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Re: I think this is an intersting preflop spot.........
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UTG here is 56/1.4/0.8 over 65 hands. [/ QUOTE ] VPIP converges much more quickly than PFR. Therefore, I put more credence in the fact that he is definitely loose than that he is necessarily passive pre-flop. Notwithstanding the aggro big bind, I three-bet my pocket eights here with position. |
#26
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Re: I think this is an intersting preflop spot.........
I 3 bet. You have position, and villian's range isn't necessarily going to be as tight as his stats seem to indicate.
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#27
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Re: I think this is an intersting preflop spot.........
[ QUOTE ]
Assuming his pfr is 1.4%, let's say after 10000 hands or something, then QQ--AA is 3 * (4 choose 2) / (52 choose 2) = 1.357% ~ 1.4% of his possible combinations. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, this is true, but I don't see what it has to do with the hand. There is no way we can assume his PRF is 1.4. In fact, it is probably pretty far away from 1.4. |
#28
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Re: I think this is an intersting preflop spot.........
definate fold. AA-KK and you're screwed. AK and you're not making much off of him when he misses. Oh yeah and if he hit's, you're screwed.
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#29
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Re: I think this is an intersting preflop spot.........
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definate fold. AA-KK and you're screwed. AK and you're not making much off of him when he misses. [/ QUOTE ] For the last time, this range is waaaay too tight. |
#30
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Re: I think this is an intersting preflop spot.........
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Assuming his pfr is 1.4%, let's say after 10000 hands or something, then QQ--AA is 3 * (4 choose 2) / (52 choose 2) = 1.357% ~ 1.4% of his possible combinations. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, this is true, but I don't see what it has to do with the hand. There is no way we can assume his PRF is 1.4. In fact, it is probably pretty far away from 1.4. [/ QUOTE ] I seriously doubt it's THAT far off. 65 hands is 11 orbits. Surely some blind steals, opportunities to open in MP with QJ etc. have come up. |
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