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#52
11-15-2005, 01:26 AM
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Re: Johnny Bax plays live too
Pretty easy check I think.
If he only has trips, its better than yours. The only hands that I think he plays this way and calls on the river which you beat are 66-TT, which wouldn't be out of his range here given the action. On the other hand, if you're raised you can muck comfortably. Meh, I'm weak tight on the river and check behind too often, but I really don't have a great reason to bet here. On the other hand, you called twice, so you'd have to think he thinks if you have a made hand you'd call again so a value bet is in order if he likes his hand (unless he thinks he can count on you to bluff a missed draw), which is bad if he's capable of c/r TT here putting you on a missed draw, you may fold a winner. Closer than it originally looks, but weak-tight me checks behind. Regards, Woodguy 
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#55
11-15-2005, 01:35 AM
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Re: Johnny Bax plays live too
Interested in a link, as well.
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#56
11-15-2005, 01:35 AM
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Re: Johnny Bax plays live too
Hmm, if he has a 7, its likely to be A7, 87, 76 which means you are in trouble. I'm not sure a good player bets repeatly into you with 99/88 but its possible, but he surely won't call. I don't see 55 or JJ checking the river, and don't see a bluffy AJ bet the turn.
So i really can't see a worse hand calling you. I think if you want to bet, you are trying to push out a 7. So I think that is risky, and I don't see a pot size bet or less doing that. Maybe double the pot size might do, to try and represent 55/A7 or something, but that is a strange line and weird bet. On the other hand, I think he'd be hard pressed to muscle up and call an all-in, but the really is LAGgy. Since i'll give Bax credit for being able to make good reads and put his tourney on the line, I say check and hope he's got TT. -g a big bet looking like Given he'll bet getting 2:1you need to represent 55 or maybe A7 and hope he has and will fold
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#57
11-15-2005, 01:37 AM
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Re: Johnny Bax plays live too
[ QUOTE ]
Interested in a link, as well. [/ QUOTE ] i hope this doesnt screw up any of the discussion. mlg, lemme know if you want me to get rid of it: http://www.cardplayer.com/poker-tourname...c602e0e6e4976da it should be near the bottom of the page. just look for johnny bax in the first 10-20 updates.
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#60
11-15-2005, 01:59 AM
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Re: Johnny Bax plays live too
I'm not sure there's any point in value-betting this river. Either you're trying to get him to lay down a better 7, or he has nothing he can call in the first place. If it's the latter - all-in; former - check behind. It depends on what you put him on during the hand. A push would be really cool.
btw - no, you're not going to get called by a hand you beat. Kirk
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