Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > Other Topics > The Stock Market
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-27-2005, 11:19 AM
1C5 1C5 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Hippo Island, South Pacific
Posts: 846
Default Just bought my 1st 2 stocks

Got 100 shares of Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) and 200 shares of Yankee Candle Company (YCC)>

Not 100% sure of each purchase but I wanted to make sure IB worked. [img]/images/graemlins/shocked.gif[/img]

Put pretty tight stop loss on each of them so will only be town $200 each if they really tank.

I like YCC as they just took a hit with bad earnings yesterday and are not cutting staff and underperforming stores, I think they can make a comeback...we will see though.

And CAKE, if I don't get stopped out, I think they will have a good holiday season when the hurricane stuff is cleaned up in FL and the East coast.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-27-2005, 02:02 PM
r3vbr r3vbr is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 75
Default Re: Just bought my 1st 2 stocks

The concept of "stop-loss" is irrational.

As someone smart once said..
If you value something at 10, you're a buyer at 8 and a seller at 12.

So if you buy a stock at 10 and put a stoploss at 8 means you're a seller at 8? that doesnt make sense. People who do this are buying something they have no idea what it's worth
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-27-2005, 02:31 PM
1C5 1C5 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Hippo Island, South Pacific
Posts: 846
Default Re: Just bought my 1st 2 stocks

So if I do my research and am wrong on a stock, (Are you 100% right in picking stocks?) it would be better to have no stop loss and just "hold on for the ride" even if the stock drops 50%?

Your reasoning makes no sense either.

PS, I just got stopped out of my CAKE stock, -$170 .
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-27-2005, 02:57 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: Just bought my 1st 2 stocks

Well, if it drops big without a corresponding news item, you should carefully redo your research and analysis. If you still think the stock was undervalued when you first bought it, you should probably buy more rather than sell.

These drops can be great buying opportunities. MIK, for example, has a tendency to overreact and drop 20% when they miss earnings projections by a couple pennies. Then it overreacts the other way when the next quarter beats projections.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-27-2005, 05:37 PM
r3vbr r3vbr is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 75
Default Re: Just bought my 1st 2 stocks

So you're content in buying a stock for 10$, and them if it falls to 5$ for no reason, you sell?

Do you do this with everything in your life (i.e. house/car/etc)

Let's say you are a businessman who travels a lot so you buy a New York appartment valued at 1 million USD to sleep there when you're in town, and also because you think prices are going up and feel like speculating on real estate. Now let's say the market crashes the very next day, and now the market only pays 500k for the brand new appartment wich you didnt even use..

Would you even consider selling it at this new price?

Why would it be any different with stocks? Please explain.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10-27-2005, 06:22 PM
buffett buffett is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Graham-and-Doddsville
Posts: 133
Default Re: Just bought my 1st 2 stocks

[ QUOTE ]
The concept of "stop-loss" is irrational.


[/ QUOTE ]

He's right. Here's a quote from Ben Graham:

"In the old legend the wise men finally boiled down the history of mortal affairs into the single phrase, 'This too shall pass.' Confronted with a like challenge to distill the secret of sound investment into three words, we venture the motto, MARGIN OF SAFETY."

So if you think CAKE is worth $35, don't pay $35 for it. Don't even pay $30 for it. Wait until it gets to such a low price ($25 for some, $20 for others, depends on taste) that the probable downside from there won't hurt as much. Sure, as 1C5 said, you may be wrong and the stock may drop to 50% of its value. But the fall from 25 to 17.50 is much smaller than from 35.

One of the greatest investors of today is Mohnish Pabrai. When he bought Tesoro, he first paid $7.50 (because he thought it was worth, conservatively, $15). He bought it all the way down to about $2, and he sold it at $15. It's now at $57.

You're never going to get the absolute bottom, and you're never going to get the absolute top. But if you invest with a margin of safety, you can strive to be as good as Mr. Pabrai (whose annualized after-fee returns are in the neighborhood of 32% for the past 6 years or so).
-web
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 10-27-2005, 11:15 PM
Sniper Sniper is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 704
Default Re: Just bought my 1st 2 stocks

If you are playing the fundamental game, and you are truly doing your homework, then buying as a stock goes down and continues to go down may make sense.

But most people, do not evaluate their stock purchases enough to know when a stock going down is still a value as opposed to a negative change!

New players to the stock market that don't do their homework, as well as short term traders... MUST use stop losses!... to control their risk!
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 10-28-2005, 05:22 AM
kagame kagame is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: lawrence, ks
Posts: 300
Default Re: Just bought my 1st 2 stocks

worst advice ive ever read on here

a stop loss keeps positions from going against you so horrifically that you CANT stand any more pain and sell much too low

also, the market is not a perfectly efficient machine, a stop loss can save you money even if the stock does indeed go back up to its "proper" value later

almost every efficient system for trading the markets involves some sort of loss limiting procedure
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 10-28-2005, 11:41 AM
r3vbr r3vbr is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 75
Default Re: Just bought my 1st 2 stocks

[ QUOTE ]
worst advice ive ever read on here

a stop loss keeps positions from going against you so horrifically that you CANT stand any more pain and sell much too low

also, the market is not a perfectly efficient machine, a stop loss can save you money even if the stock does indeed go back up to its "proper" value later

almost every efficient system for trading the markets involves some sort of loss limiting procedure

[/ QUOTE ]

Read my earlier post about the example with a piece of real estate, would you do the same stop-loss procedure if that were the case? if not, please identify the diferences.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 10-28-2005, 11:56 AM
vindikation vindikation is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 181
Default Re: Just bought my 1st 2 stocks

Unlike a mutual fund, an individual stock can continue to decline and go to zero, when should you sell the declining stock, never?

It also keeps your money tied up while your waiting for the stock to increase (if it does). If it's falling way beyond your initial expectations, doesn't it make more sense to cut your losses and move the money into another potentially profitable stock or some other form of investment?
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:15 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.