AQ makes top pair, faces small flop raise. Is this played well?

[brian94709]

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em (NL$50) <font color="#0000FF">(6 handed)</font> link

Button ($54.10)
SB ($45.50)
Hero ($46.05)
UTG ($36.90)
MP ($83.45)
CO ($50.45)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, SB calls $0.25, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1.50</font>, UTG calls $1.50, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>.

Flop: ($4.50) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $3.00</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $7.00</font>, Hero calls $4.00.

Turn: ($18.50) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $10.00</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises all-in ($27.90)</font>, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $56.40.

[BoxTree]

I don't understand why you raised preflop.

Other than that, I like the hand, but I'd like to see a bit of an analysis on the turn fold.

If you can figure a way to win 32% of the time, you should call here.

What's the percentage of the time that you think he's bluffing?

What's the percentage of the time that you think he's doing this with a hand that you beat (KQ, QJ, and JJ come to mind)?

What's the percentage of the time that he has two-pair (in which case you have as few as two outs or as many as eight outs)?

What's the percentage of the time that he has AA (two outs for you) or KK (five outs)?

What's the percentage of the time that he has a set or a straight (you have zero outs)?

Weight these percentages accordingly and see if you're at 32%.

If you are, call.